Daily Pitching Report for MLB Bettors 8/6

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, August 6, 2014 12:47 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2014 12:47 PM UTC

Our resident MLB handicapping expert analyzes a couple of starting pitching matchups in the Dodgers/Angels and Giants/Brewers games. Read this insightful MLB betting article that clearly leads you to the best betting values in both games.

San Francisco Giants (Vogelsong) @ Milwaukee Brewers (Gallardo) 8:10 PM ET
The Giants starter Ryan Vogelsong has been a very profitable pitcher on the road this season going 8-2 (+8.40 units) against the money despite posting a lofty 4.70 ERA in those starts. Ironically he’s coming off his best start of the season, and that came on the road during a 5-1 win over the Mets. Vogelsong tossed a complete game while allowing 1 earned run, 2-hits, while striking out 5, and walking just 1. The Giants right-hander has seen 6 of his last 7-starts go under the total while posting a stellar 2.95 ERA, and compiling a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Giants have gone under the total in 18 of 23-games during the past 2-seasons, as a money line underdog of +100 or more, and when Vogelsong is their starting pitcher.

The Brewers starter Yavoni Gallardo has been extremely sharp in his last 2-starts allowing 0 earned runs and 8-hits, while striking out 16, and walking just 1 in 14 2/3 innings of work. Since the 2010 season the Brewers right-hander has gone 3-1 against the money versus the Giants with an excellent 1.29 ERA. He’s also seen 7 of his last 8 versus the Giants stay under the total. Gallardo will be facing a Giants team with an OBP of just .299 on the season. In his career he’s gone 80-39 against the money when facing a National League opponent with an OBP of .325 or less.


I’m undecided about giving either one of these pitchers an advantage over the other. Pertaining to looking for wagering value, I like this one to be a low scoring game. My MLB betting lean is to play this one to go under the total.

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Los Angeles Dodgers (Haren) @ Los Angeles Angels (Shoemaker) 7:05 PM ET
The Dodgers starter Dan Haren has fallen on hard times of late. The veteran right-hander has gone 0-5 in his last 5 with a monster 10.03 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. Haren has been vulnerable to the long ball this season allowing 22 home runs in 126 2/3 innings, and that equates to 1-homer per 5.8 innings pitched.

The Angels starter Matt Shoemaker has gone a stellar 9-3 against the money this season with a 3.88 ERA and an almost 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He enters tonight in very good form off of his last 3-starts posting a 3.

06 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and struck out 16 while walking none.


The MLB betting pick with these two starting pitchers in this inter-league rivalry clearly lies with the youngster Matt Shoemaker over the veteran Dan Haren.

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