Daily MLB Picks & Predictions for Cardinals vs. Dodgers 4-Game Series in Los Angeles

Willie Bee

Thursday, June 4, 2015 1:06 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 4, 2015 1:06 PM GMT

The Dodgers have a chance to split their series with the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, and the MLB odds like LA's chances as favorites behind righthander Zack Greinke.

7th June
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Game 4

By: Willie Bee

 

 

The 71st anniversary of the Normandy Invasion might turn into a D-Day of sorts for the Dodgers. Los Angeles got eight, 1-hit innings from Clayton Kershaw on Saturday while Yasiel Puig landed back in the lineup after missing 40 games and delivered the game-winning hit in a 2-0 triumph over the St. Louis Cardinals to halt a 3-game slide.

Losses in four of their last five games had the Dodgers on the verge of falling out of first in the NL West before Saturday's triumph. The win also put Los Angeles in position to earn a split in this long set against the Cardinals tonight when ESPN televises the finale beginning at 8 PM (ET). Early action on St. Louis has driven the opening moneyline for the Dodgers down about 15 cents at most shops charted by SBR's live MLB baseball odds. They're going for -151 at The Greek in the battle that features Lance Lynn starting for the Cards opposite LA's Zack Greinke, and both 6 and 6½ run totals are available to bettors.

 

Greinke, Lynn Meeting For 4th Time In 3 Years
Backing the Cardinals with Lynn on the hill has been hit or miss with St. Louis 6-5 in his 11 starts and up less than a unit. The best MLB odds play when Lynn hurls has been the 'under' which has cashed in eight of his 11 assignments. That includes each of his last four outings, and three of five road appearances.

Sunday will be the ninth time Lynn has faced the Dodgers, and eighth as a starter including three playoff matchups the past couple of seasons. The Cardinals are 4-3 in the previous seven starts, 3-3 when Lynn takes the mound in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers have fallen into a win one, lose one pattern Greinke's last four starts, and he's coming off his worst performance of the year this past Tuesday in Colorado (6 IP, 5 ER) though LA managed to rally with four runs in the ninth for the victory. Half of his six career assignments against the Cardinals since joining the Dodgers have come in the postseason, two of those pitted against Lynn, Los Angeles 3-3 in those matchups while Greinke pitched to a 2.47 ERA.

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
After a good lean to the 'under' early in the season, four out of Lance Barrett's last five plate assignments have gone 'over' the totals to leave baseball bettors 6-5 O/U in his 2015 matchups. He has been on the West Coast the last two times in San Francisco and San Diego, parks generally associated with low-scoring affairs and each went past the mark. Home teams are 7-4 overall, 5-3 when they're the moneyline favorites.

Temps in the mid-70s, clear skies and a light SW breeze (out to right) should greet the first pitch. I'm liking the mound matchup this evening to cash my free MLB pick on the 'under' 6½ (-110) to close this series with a winner.

MLB Picks: Under 6.5 -105 at BetOnline

6th June
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Game 3

By: Willie Bee

 

 

His string of scoreless innings came to a halt, but Carlos Martinez and the St. Louis Cardinals continued their winning ways with a 2-1 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers in Friday's battle to reach the midway point of the weekend series.

Having already secured the season series between the old rivals, St. Louis now takes aim at pulling off its first 4-game sweep in LA since 2006. The Cardinals will have to overcome some pretty long MLB odds to just win a third straight in the set in Saturday's 10:10 PM (ET) matchup at Dodger Stadium where Clayton Kershaw takes the mound for the home team that is chalked around -190. Jaime Garcia draws the duel from the St. Louis side in the all-lefty clash, a 6 run total juiced to the 'over' at shops like GT Bets where a -130 price is attached.

 

Kershaw Takes Aim At 3rd-Straight Dubya
Garcia has three quality starts to his credit since coming off the DL a couple of weeks ago, but the Cardinals have not been able to take advantage of that with two losses in his outings. In fact, his worst start -- 6 IP, 3 ER vs. Arizona -- was the only winner of the three with St. Louis shut out in the other two contests.

The oft-injured 28 year old has only faced the Dodgers once in the past three seasons, a fine performance at LA in September 2012 (6 IP, 1 ER), but the Cards managed to lose that one as well. AJ Ellis is the only batter available to Los Angeles manager Don Mattingly who has taken Garcia deep.

Kershaw has slowly but surely started to turn around his rough beginning to the 2015 baseball betting campaign with wins his last two times out. The Dallas native will try and atone for a couple of playoff losses to St. Louis last October, the Redbirds tallying 11 runs in 12.2 innings though Kershaw did whiff 19 in those starts. The Dodgers are 4-1 in his five home starts, Kershaw pitching to a 2.48 ERA.

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Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
It's could be a bit like going from the frying pan into the fire as far as the umpire rotation goes with CB Bucknor following Dan Iassogna behind the plate for Game 3. Playing the 'over' when Bucknor calls balls and strikes has been a boon for bettors, eight of his first 11 games under the mask hurdling the MLB odds with another contest pushing the total. He worked an 'over' in a Cardinals road game in April, and his only plate assignment at Chavez Ravine last season also topped the mark.

It should be another nice evening in the LA area, the weatherman currently forecasting clear skies, 67º for Kershaw's first toss and a 7 mph westerly breeze (left to right). Playing against the Dodgers ace is never an easy decision, but I'm riding the Cardinals for my free MLB pick.

MLB Pick: Cardinals +170 at Bovada

5th June
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Game 2

By: Willie Bee

 

 

Led by Michael Wacha on the mound and a lineup that plated five runs with two outs on the board, the St. Louis Cardinals showed why they own baseball's best record with an easy 7-1 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers in Thursday's series opener.

Our second matchup in the 4-game series features our second consecutive pitching rematch from last week in St. Louis as Carlos Martinez takes on Brett Anderson in the 10:10 PM (ET) affair. The nickel line at 5Dimes, always one of the most competitive, is listing LA -118 with the take-back on the Cardinals at +113, and current MLB odds have a 6½ run total that is taxed heavily on the 'over' so we could see this number move to 7 soon.

 

Martinez Brings 20+ Shutout Inning Streak Into Contest
Both of tonight's hurlers put forth outstanding efforts last Sunday at Busch Stadium, Martinez and the Cards eventually getting the better of Anderson and the Dodgers, 3-1. Martinez 1-hit LA over seven scoreless frames to extend his string of zeroes to 20.2 innings, St. Louis victorious now in three straight contests behind the young Dominican. Anderson allowed a 2-run homer in the 1st to all but seal the Dodgers' fate, but kept them in the game with five shutout innings after that.

Martinez had not been very successful against Los Angeles before that, three previous starts and a relief outing resulting in a 5.14 ERA and the Dodgers batting .328 along the way. Most of that damage came in one game at St. Louis last July, Martinez holding the Dodgers to one run in 5+ innings over the course of two appearances in LA.

Anderson has now put together a run of three straight quality starts. He had never faced the Cardinals before last Sunday, and the Dodgers are 4-1 in his five home starts, Anderson fashioning a 2.89 ERA in 28 innings.

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Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
The man, the myth, the legend (in his own mind) Dan Iassogna will be under the mask calling the pitches Martinez, Anderson and sundry relievers deliver in Friday's fracas. The 16-season veteran has been a friend to 'under' bettors this year with a 4-7-1 O/U/P showing, including a Martinez start in Milwaukee back in late-April. Home teams are just 4-8 when he's behind the plate, 2-4 as favorites on MLB betting boards.

After a cloudy start to the day, the forecast calls for clear skies and about an hour of daylight left when the matchup begins around seven o'clock local time. First pitch will come in the mid-60s on the thermometer and a light WSW breeze (out to right-center). St. Louis is simply playing too well right now not to make my free MLB pick on the visitors.

MLB Pick: Cardinals 

4th June
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Series Opener

By: Willie Bee

 

 

Having met less than a week ago in St. Louis, the Cardinals and Dodgers conclude their regular season baseball betting schedule against one another this weekend in Los Angeles. I just don't get the feeling, however, it's the last time we see the old foes square off in 2015.

If this is their final get-together until next year, they'll finish things off as division leaders with a 4-game set at Dodger Stadium. The first two games feature pitching rematches from last week, Thursday's 10:10 PM (ET) start pitting St. Louis' Michael Wacha opposite LA's Carlos Frias. The matchup went out as a pick 'em on SBR's live MLB odds, but the Dodgers are now slight $1.10 favorites at Wagerweb with a 7-run total.

Two of the three games last weekend at Busch went to the Cardinals as pitching ruled the series. All three contest finished 'under' the totals as the clubs combined for 13 runs the entire set, well below their season averages of more than 8½ runs per game combined. St. Louis' two wins left the Redbirds with a 1,052-1,083 advantage in the rivalry that dates to the 1884 season, 18 more contests suspended or ending in ties.

The Dodgers have been solid at home in the series recently, winning 10 of the last 15 played in Los Angeles. They took three of four from the Cardinals at Dodger Stadium a year ago, 'under' bettors also cashing in three of those matchups.

 

Wacha Coming Off 1st Loss Of Season
St. Louis (35-18, +14.7 units) added to baseball's best record with a 7-4 win Wednesday afternoon at home over the Brewers before heading out on this 7-game journey that ends next week in Colorado. It was the third consecutive series wins for the Cardinals who closed May on a 6-1 run before beginning June 2-1.

Mike Matheny's club has been remarkably consistent, just one 3-game skid and a trio of 2-game streaks in the 'L' column, and the pitching staff is a big reason why. St. Louis owns a 2.67 staff ERA, and no other team in all of baseball is below 3.00.  The rotation alone can beat any other team's staff clip.

Wacha has been a big part of that rotation and taken over the role of ace since Adam Wainwright went down. In fact, he's done an admirable job with a team-leading seven wins and a 2.27 ERA that ranks seventh among all NL hurlers. The former Texas Aggie didn't suffer his first loss until facing Frias and the Dodgers last Saturday in St. Louis, Yasmani Grandal's 3-run blast in the sixth his undoing. It was his first career appearance against the Dodgers, and the Cards remain 9-1 behind Wacha with over eight units of profit for any baseball bettors following him in those games.

 

Dodgers Treading Water With Sub-.500 Record Since Mid-May
Los Angeles (31-22, +0.6 units) has fallen into a bit of a funk with losses in five of the last eight games, but the Dodgers return home from a 3-4 road trip still clinging to a 2-game lead in the NL West thanks to the Giants dropping five straight. Rookie Joc Pederson will be looking to extend his streak of five games hitting a home run, but there is some potential trouble brewing in the bullpen with the uncertainty surrounding closer Kenley Jansen.

Frias rebounded from a very ugly effort against the Padres (4 IP, 10 ER) with a fine showing against Wacha and the Cardinals this past weekend. The slender Dominican worked seven full frames, allowing a single unearned run to earn his second consecutive quality road start following a solid showing in San Francisco 10 days earlier. Like Wacha against LA, that was Frias' first assignment vs. St. Louis.

Most of California wouldn't mind a rainout or two if it meant easing the drought conditions, but the weekend forecast isn't calling for any rain in the LA area. There will be a some clouds tonight, the thermometer in the mid-60s and muggy at game time with just a bit of a SE breeze (out to right). Let's start things off with a free MLB pick on the visiting Cardinals (+100).

MLB Pick: Cardinals +100 

Season: 42-33-2 (+7.90)

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