Current Form Makes Rays the Clear Choice Over Mariners Thursday

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, June 4, 2015 2:12 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 4, 2015 2:12 PM GMT

Tampa Bay travels north after splitting an early week set vs. the LA Angels. Seattle remains home following their series loss to NYY. Where should we place our MLB pick? Find the aswer inside.

Tampa Bay Rays (E. Ramirez) vs. Seattle Mariners (Elias) (-115) 10:10 ET
Tampa Bay travels north after splitting an early week set vs. the LA Angels.  At 15-12 away, they have the 3rd best road record in the American League.  Seattle remains home following their series loss to NYY, which extends their losing streak to 5 consecutive defeats and drops them to 12-16 on this field.  That is a nice inverted home/road dichotomy edge for the Rays.  In addition, their No. 1 OPS pitching number of .643 is the best in the league and a major reason why their +61 net OPS rating implies they are due for an upward spiral based on their current 28-26 record.

The Mariners are reeling on offense.  In the last 8 games, they are averaging just 2.5 RPG with a .214 BA.  They have dropped their last 5 contests.  In hopes of rectifying that situation, the Mariners have acquired power-hitter Trumbo to fill the power void in the middle of their lineup.  The problem is that in 29 games at Safeco Field, Trumbo has a .243 BA and only a .678 OPS.  Those are well below MLB averages.  Elias has pitched decently for the Mariners with a 3.07 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.  Yet, Seattle is just 2-5 in his starts, including his most recent start of a 4-3 loss to Cleveland in which Elias worked 5 1/3 IP allowing 4 runs on 5 hits with 4 walks.  

Tampa Bay was in a mini-funk last week, losing 6 consecutive games.  But, they have turned the tables in the last 5 days with a 3-2 record.  Tonight, they send E. Ramirez to the mound.  They have gone 4-2 in his starts in which he has a 1.22 WHIP.  His most recent 4 outings have resulted in a 3-1 record, a 3.13 ERA and a most impressive .149 BAA.  That current form will need to more than offset his record from this mound.  As a member of the Mariners in 2012-14, the most recent 10 starts for Ramirez, from this mound, have resulted in a record of 0-6 and 4.81 ERA.

This is a pure play on the current form of each team and each starter with the underlying premise that the record of Tampa Bay will at last begin to reflect their OPS ranking.  As such, we are looking to add E. Ramirez to our Thursday's MLB picks as a hidden gem against the Seattle Mariners team, who are a false favorite, undeserving of that role against today’s opponent.  

MLB Pick: Take Tampa Bay Rays

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