Cubs vs Rockies Affair Provides Two Must-Have Betting Picks

Colorado Rockies

Swinging Johnson

Saturday, August 20, 2016 9:54 PM GMT

The Rockies edged the Cubs yesterday in the first of three at Coors Field. But it's a brand new day and we intend to shop for the best MLB odds available and get on the right side.

Swinger’s MLB Record: 64-37, +25.29 units
I return to the battle fresh as a daisy after taking a few days off from the rigors of the long and winding baseball season. When last we spoke I released my top MLB pick of the day which was the St. Louis Cardinals over the Houston Astros on Wednesday afternoon. That game was a walk in the park as the Redbirds cruised to an 8-2 victory and we added another notch in our ever-expanding holster.

As we enter the homestretch of the season we are covering at a nearly 64 percent clip and up over 25 units based on one unit plays per side or total. Let's get back to work as we review the MLB odds, do our due diligence in this Cubs/Rockies affair and keep on cashing on those tickets!

 

Rockies Rally
Despite a less than mediocre record and with only a glimmer of hope for a postseason berth, the Rockies have shown some gumption recently. Having now won three straight, including yesterday's stunning come-from-behind win over arguably the best team in baseball, Colorado has given their fans something to cheer about.

Last night Colorado found themselves down 5-1 in the bottom of the seventh but by the time the ninth inning rolled around the teams were knotted at five apiece. In the 11th inning the Cubs struck to take a 6-5 lead but the never-say-die Rockies stared down the barrel of the flame-throwing Aroldis Chapman and touched him for a pair of runs leading to the unlikely 7-6 decision.

 

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Unproven vs. Untested
The pitchers tonight will both be question marks as the Cubs will trot out Mike Montgomery (1-1, 3.18, 1.24) who will make his first start for the Cubs after being acquired from the Mariners on July 20th. Montgomery has two starts under his belt with Seattle and has seven relief appearances with Chicago. In his last four outings, Montgomery has held his opponents scoreless for a total of six combined innings of relief.

On the other side of the diamond, the Rockies will be revealing the crown jewel of their bounty for dealing All-Star shortstop Troy Tulowitzki to the Blue Jays. Colorado received three minor league pitchers in that trade but none more valuable than Jeff Hoffman. The 23-year-old had Tommy John surgery in 2014 and pitched at Single-A and Double-A last season before bumping up to Triple-A this season. At Triple-A Albuquerque, home of the Rockies minor league affiliate, Hoffman has gone 6-9 with a 4.02 ERA, 124 strikeouts, and 44 walks in 118 2/3 innings.

 

Betting Analysis
My quick-look analysis (in other words, my knee-jerk reaction) is that the Rockies were lucky to win that game last night against the far more talented Cubs and now they are going with a baptism by fire for their talented young pitcher Jeff Hoffman. The thin air of Coors Field where good hitters become great hitters coupled with one of the best lineups in baseball in the Chicago Cubs ready to feast on a young, untested pitcher who couldn't even get below a four ERA against minor league hitters. Quite honestly, I'm not sure that knee-jerk reaction isn't spot on.

My reservations in laying the lumber with a road favorite, even one as talented as the Cubs, is that the Rockies' offense stacks up with the best of them. They have been knocking the cover off the ball recently, scoring an average of almost seven runs per game over their last 13 contests. And that's not just a statistical anomaly as they have been a prolific scoring club since the beginning of the season as evidenced by their No. 2 ranked offense in runs scored and team batting average, trailing only the Boston Red Sox in those categories.

The issue with the Rockies is their lack of pitching. They have been abysmal but here's the thing. The kid Hoffman that will be chuckin' for the Rocks this evening is talented - very talented. And though his season long ERA with the Triple-A club is middling at best with a 4.02, his last two starts have been stellar. He did not allow a single run in either appearance which totaled a combined nine innings. Therefore, I am not only grabbing the home dog with a potent offense against an unproven pitcher in Mike Montgomery, I am also going over the posted total as well.

MLB Pick: Rockies +135 
MLB Pick: Over 12 (+100) 
Best Lines Offered: at Heritage

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