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Cubs vs. Padres MLB Picks and Predictions

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Cubs vs. Padres MLB Picks and Predictions
Manny Machado #13 of the San Diego Padres, right, is congratulated by Jake Cronenworth #9. Denis Poroy/Getty Images/AFP

We’re checking the SBR Odds for a winner when the series in San Diego between Fernando Tatis Jr. and his Padres continues against Kris Bryant and the Chicago Cubs.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

Tuesday, June 8, 2021 – 10:10PM EDT at Petco Park

One of only three MLB scores from a very light Monday schedule, San Diego put a 9-4 bruising on Chicago in the series opener. The Padres benefitted from 10 hits and eight walks, halting a mini 2-game slide after dropping the final couple of contests against the New York Mets over the weekend. The Cubs, who swept three from San Diego at Wrigley a week ago, lost their share of the NL Central lead with Monday’s defeat.

Tuesday’s tilt is the final game on the card, and the Padres are chalked up with Dinelson Lamet (1-0, 2.50) on the hill. Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review) has San Diego priced -175 in the matchup with Chicago’s Zach Davies (2-3, 4.94), and a 7½-run total is juiced a little to the high side at most shops.

Cubs Down 4.6 Units on the Road

Masters of their domain when playing in the friendly confines on Chicago’s North Side, the road has not been kind to the Cubs this season. Monday’s loss leaves them 12-17 away from home, and just 1-4 on this trip that begin by dropping three of four in San Francisco to the Giants. They started the trip with a 3-game lead over Milwaukee, but have since fallen a half-game back.

After a very strong month of May, June did not begin well for Davies. The 28-year-old was knocked around in San Francisco last Thursday, allowing four runs in 4+ innings of a 7-2 Giants win with the Cubs +110 underdogs on the MLB betting odds . Chicago had won Davies’ previous three assignments, and five of the six starts he made in May while pitching to a 1.72 ERA.

Davies will be facing the Padres for the first time since 2019, and hopes Tuesday’s outcome is much different than the last time he pitched against them in San Diego. In a 2019 start at Petco Park, Davies was chased in the third inning with five runs charged to his ledger in an eventual 8-7 Padres win. He made five starts on the diamond a year ago while pitching for San Diego, winning three of them and registering a 3.13 ERA.

Friars Lead Majors with 2.89 ERA

San Diego scored just 18 times in their previous eight games prior to Monday’s 9-run outburst, which was no doubt a welcome site to manager Jayce Tingler. Manny Machado’s homer was just his second since mid-May, and Brian O’Grady popped his first of the season after being recalled from Triple-A earlier in the day.

Elbow trouble delayed Lamet in spring training, then a forearm issue sent him to the DL after just one appearance in April. He continues to try and build up arm strength, with just 18 innings of work so far in five starts and two relief outings. The results are there when he does pitch, a nice 2.50 ERA to go with just one homer allowed in 18 innings.

Lamet worked a season-high four innings his last time out, which came at Wrigley Field against these Cubs. He only allowed one run while striking out six in the no-decision that ultimately went into Chicago’s win column as slight chalk at the best online betting sites. That was the third time Lamet had faced Chicago during his career, the other two starts coming at Petco Park in 2017 and 2019, a win and a loss with a combined 10 IP and 5 ER allowed.

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Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Jansen Visconti is next up in Jerry Meals’ crew to call balls and strikes in San Diego, his 10th time to work the dish this season and 83rd plate assignment of his young career. The Pennsylvania native is 5-4 O/U when behind the mask in in 2021, and both of his previous times to have dish duty at Petco Park resulted in ‘under’ winners.

A partly cloudy evening awaits the 16,000 or so fans who make their way into Petco Park tonight, the weather man telling us most of the contest will be played in the mid-60s on the thermometer. The forecast also calls for a 6-10 mph NW breeze (in from left).

The offense San Diego showed off in the series opener should continue tonight against Davies. Meanwhile, Lamet will be able to go deep enough into the game to allow Tingler to turn things over to his bullpen with a comfortable lead. My free MLB pick will be a run line play on the home side.

MLB Pick: Padres -1½ (+125) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Padres -1½ (+125)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.