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Cubs vs. Brewers MLB Picks and Predictions

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Cubs vs. Brewers MLB Picks and Predictions
Kyle Hendricks #28 of the Chicago Cubs pitches. Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images/AFP

The Chicago Cubs looks to shake off a slow start to the season against the team that beat them in a series a week ago—the Milwaukee Brewers. Let’s check out the MLB odd for this game at the best betting sites.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Monday, 12 April 2021 – 7:40 PM EDT at American Family Field

The Chicago Cubs have had a slow start to the season, opening the week on Monday morning at 4-5, which is good for fourth in the five-team National League Central. The division was supposed to be wide open and one of baseball’s weakest, after none of the teams did much to improve themselves over the offseason, save St. Louis’ acquisition of Nolan Arenado.

The Cubs have lost back-to-back series, however, both against Central foes, at home to Milwaukee and on the road at Pittsburgh. Now Chicago’s road trip continues with a rematch with the Brewers in Milwaukee.

The Cubs have more to worry about than on-field problems. First base coach Craig Driver didn’t make the trip to Pittsburgh because he didn’t feel well. On Saturday, his COVID-19 test result came back positive. The team has tested every day and hasn’t yet had anyone else pop a positive test, but the team is still well within the incubation period. Manager David Ross said the cubs are “hoping for the best but expecting the worst,” meaning that it’s very possible the team will end up short-handed before the series in Milwaukee is complete.

Cub Struggles

The Cubs have been outscored by 11 runs through nine games which is the second-worst run differential in the national league, ahead of only Pittsburgh, the last-place team in the NL Central.

The Cubs are hitting just .167 this season and are dead last in the National League in average, on base percentage and OPS. Chicago is second-to-last in slugging.

Now Chicago heads to the building they formerly referred to as Wrigley North. The Cubs won 19 of 25 against the Brewers in Milwaukee, a streak that ended in 2018. Since then, the Brewers have won 12 of 18.

On the mound, the Cubs will look to Adbert Alozay, whose previous start this year was also against the Brewers and didn’t go well. Alozay gave up three runs in the first inning and ended up with four runs in five innings, good for a 7.20 ERA and a loss to start the year.

Bad Blood

The Brewers were a dark horse choice to win the wide-open Central. Milwaukee is just 5-4, but its good enough for a second-place tie, a game behind leader Cincinnati. The Brewers have a plus five run differential and are riding a two-game winning streak.

Milwaukee has won back-to-back series, both on the road and both over divisional rivals after taking two of three from both St. Louis and the Cubs. Now the Brewers return home.

The Brewers-Cubs series last week generated some bad blood as benches cleared after Cubs catcher Willson Contreras was hit by a pitch. Contreras took issue with the number of times Brewers pitchers have hit him recently and was upset that he was fined for his actions in sparking the incident.

The Brewers bats have been heating up. Milwaukee has scored more than five runs a game over its last five, winning four of them. The Brewers are also plus 14 in run differential over that span.

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The biggest concern Milwaukee has is injuries to two of its hitters. MVP candidate Christian Yelich and Travis Shaw both left Sunday’s win. Shaw fouled a pitch off his ankle, while Yelich suffered from back soreness. Neither were placed on the injured list and are day-to-day

“We’ll see how they’re doing [Monday],” manager Craig Counsell said. “We’re not ruling them out, we’ll just see how they’re doing when they get to the field.”

The Brewers will start Freddy Peralta, who struck out eight in four innings against the Cubs last week. In one start and one relief appearance this season, he’s fanned 14 in seven innings but also walked seven. Peralta has yet to give up a run.

The Pick

With two Brewers batters ailing and Peralta’s wildness an issue, look for the Cubs to break through against Milwaukee. Chicago may not win the series, but the stage is set to get a victory in the opener.

MLB pick: Cubs (+114) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Cubs (+114)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.