Cubs' Lester To Cut Down Giants In Friday Matinee At Wrigley

Jay Pryce

Friday, September 2, 2016 1:35 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 2, 2016 1:35 PM UTC

The scorching Cubs send Cy Young candidate Jon Lester to hill to face off with Albert Suarez and the sinking Giants on Friday at Wrigley Field. Get your game pick with an analysis here. 

San Francisco Giants (72-61) – Albert Suarez (3-2, 4.35 ERA)
The Giants fell to the Cubs 5-4 on Thursday in the first of a grueling 10-game road trip. It was their sixth straight loss at Wrigley Field.

Entering the All-Star break with the best record in MLB (57-33), the wheels have come off since for San Francisco. Going 15-28, its 34.9 winning percentage is the lowest of all teams during this span.

Manager Bruce Bochy turns to Albert Suarez for the start against the red-hot Cubs, looking for some kind of spark. Suarez, who was called up from Triple-A Sacramento a week ago today, took the place of Matt Cain in the rotation, the latter returning to the bullpen after a so-so performance in his final rehab outing in which he yielded four earned runs on 10 hits in five frames. The three-time All-Star will now work long relief.

San Francisco is 3-4 when Suarez, who has bounced back and forth between the big club and the minors, commands the hill as a starter. He and the pen allow 5.3 runs on 8.1 hits per game, the team going 3-1 away from AT&T Park. The right-hander was roughed up a bit in his last outing, taking the loss in a 3-1 defeat to the Braves on Saturday. It was his first start since July 3, yielding three earned runs on five hits in 4 1/3 innings.

The Giants are just 6-15 in their last 21 away games, crossing the plate 3.2 times per effort. They’ve gone off at average odds of -108, returning a whopping 44 percent to those fading the faltering club.


Shop & Compare Live Odds For San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs


Chicago Cubs (86-47) – Jon Lester (14-4, 2.70 ERA)
The Cubs are on the other end of the win-loss spectrum compared to the Giants, compiling a 33-12 record following the break; their 73.3 winning percentage tops the bigs during this stretch. Pitching is the catalyst. The staff has allowed 3.0 runs on 6.7 hits per game with the rotation putting in a quality start in 30 of the 45 contests.

Manager Joe Maddon gives the pill to Jon Lester for this matchup. The Cubs have won 19 of the left-hander’s starts this season, most of any on the team; this, despite dropping a 1-0 contest to the Dodgers in at L.A. last time out.

Lester is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA in four career starts against the Giants. The current roster is batting .231 against. Catcher Buster Posey (5-for-13) and OF Denard Span (8-for-24) are the only two on the roster to hit above ,300 in five at-bats or more. Posey owns the lineups only home run in 103 plate appearances collectively.

The Cubs are 9-1 in Lester’s last 10 starts as home chalk, gifting a measly 2.2 runs per game. The southpaw has put in a quality effort in each of the 10 games. The UNDER is 22-8-3 when Lester is on the bump at Wrigley in his career.


Final Analysis
Chicago is a gaudy 23-5 at home in their last 28 games, winning by 2.5 runs per contest. It’s even more impressive when going up against weaker starting pitching. When the Cubs starter carries a lower ERA than his opponent does, they are 16-2, beating teams by 3.3 runs per contest. Most sportsbooks have not set the line as of publication but expect it to be incredibly steep, you can check for the line to be posted in our MLB Odds page once they become available. Lester is averaging -225 on the Moneyline at Wrigley, which is a little too rich for our wallet. We’ll bite on the Giants going under the team total once the number is set. Lester and the pen have yielded more than three runs just once in 12 Wrigley starts this season. Giants TT UNDER is the free MLB pick


Free MLB Pick: Giants TT Under
Best Line Offered: N/A at time of publication

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