Our MLB consultant will share his two top totals picks on Saturday’s card. Don’t make a move on either the Phillies/Marlins or Mets/Rockies games before reading this compelling betting preview article.
Phillies (Harang) vs. Marlins (Nicolino): 7:10 PM ET
Aaron Harang has gone 1-9 in his last ten starts with a horrible 8.40 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. Since 2014, Harang has made three starts at Miami, and posted a mammoth 10.20 ERA and 2.07 WHIP. The Phillies are averaging 6.5 runs and 11.0 hits per game during their previous four outings, and all of those contests went over the total.
Justin Nicolino has been in shaky form over his previous three starts, compiling a lofty 6.06 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Miami has gone 16-3-1 over the total during their last twenty games.
These teams have gone 7-2-2 over the number in their eleven encounters this season. Philadelphia has a .767 team OPS and Miami an even better .808 over the last seven games for both clubs. I like this game to be a high scoring affair for one of my MLB picks on Saturday. The Greek is the only major sportsbook who has a posted total of 8.0, and all others are at 8.5.
MLB Picks: Play on the Phillies and Marlins over 8.0 (-125) at The Greek
Mets (Niese) vs. Rockies (Rusin): 8:10 PM ET
Jonathan Niese has been lights out in his last three starts on the road. The Mets southpaw posted a miniscule 0.40 ERA in those outings, and all three games went under the total. The Mets are coming off a 14-9 win on Friday, and they’ve gone 12-2 under the total since 2014 following a game in which they scored 10 runs or more. New York has gone over the total with a high degree of regularity in recent games. However, they’re facing a left-handed starting pitcher (Rusin) tonight, and they’re 17-9 under the total versus southpaw starters this season, averaging a paltry 3.0 runs per game, and possessing a poor .228 team batting average.
Chris Rusin has been stellar in his last two starts, allowing only 1 earned run during 15.0 innings pitched, and one of those outings came at Citi Field versus the Mets. Rusin has held his own at hitter-friendly Coors Field this season, compiling a very good 3.27 ERA in seven starts. Colorado has gone a pathetic 5-20 this year versus southpaw starting pitchers, averaging just 3.5 runs per game, and had a poor .672 team OPS.
Considering both of these teams struggles against left-handed starters, and the pitchers for tonight’s game displaying some impressive form in recent outings, I like this to a be a low scoring contest. The Greek clearly allows us to lay minimal juice for this particular wager.
MLB Picks: Play the Mets and Rockies under 10.5 (-105)