Close Call for Cappers: Astros vs. Twins Betting Preview

David Lawrence

Friday, August 28, 2015 12:58 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 28, 2015 12:58 PM GMT

When we look over Friday's MLB odds, the Astros vs. Twins matchup has caught our attention. This game is closer than the odds may suggest, but we are confident that our Money Line picks will cash.

Momentum
The Astros are on a big-time roll. They have won five of their last six games, but what’s even more impressive is that they have beaten two extremely strong opponents in the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees. The Astros won consecutive games against the Dodgers on days when Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw were pitching. Not many teams can say that they beat those two pitchers on back to back days – maybe at other points during the season, but not on consecutive days on the calendar. Then the Astros went to New York to take on the Yankees. They lost a 1-0 game on a walk-off in the bottom of the ninth inning. The Astros, who have struggled on the road this season, fell to 24-36 on the road with that loss, and so it was natural to think that they would stumble the next few days, reeling from a tough blow after such a successful weekend series. However, the Astros proved the doubters wrong. They not only beat the Yankees the next two days; they crushed them, winning 15-1 on Tuesday before scoring another decisive (though not as lopsided) win on Wednesday. The Astros won the series in New York, and since the Angels have lost four of their last six games, including a sweep loss to the Toronto Blue Jays last weekend, the Astros have opened up an A.L. West lead of more than five games. They are in charge of the division right now.

The Twins, though, are on a roll, too. They swept four road games from the Baltimore Orioles. They are 7-0 against the Orioles this season. They then went into St. Petersburg, Florida, and won a series against fellow wild card competitor Tampa Bay. The Twins entered Thursday afternoon with a half-game lead in the cluttered race for the American League’s second wild card spot.

 

Astros vs. Twins Pitching Matchup on Friday
Scott Kazmir takes the ball for the Astros with a 2.39 ERA 1.12 WHIP. He has struggled a little more in recent weeks, though – he gave up four runs four starts ago and six runs two starts ago. He has not been pitching into the seventh inning.

The Twins will send Kyle Gibson to the bump with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Gibson has been consistently inconsistent, if you look at his recent track record. Here’s how his last six starts have gone: two runs, six runs, two runs, eight runs, two runs, six runs – including his last nine starts, he added yet another outing in which he gave up six runs and two runs.

 

What’s The Pick?
Before locking in your MLB picks today, do note that both teams are hot and are on an upswing. Both teams have starting pitchers who have wobbled in recent days. It’s a very close call, but Houston has been beating better opponents and is more battle-tested. The cheapest price on the Astros at open is -127 at 5Dimes, so I’ll take them there.

Free MLB Pick: Astros -127 at The Greek

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