Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox: Odds Focus, Preview, Prediction and Picks

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, August 2, 2017 2:08 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 2, 2017 2:08 PM UTC

The Indians are 29-23 on the Road and with the Red Sox scheduled to send 14-game loser Rick Porcello to the hill on Wednesday night, backing the defending AL-champion Indians seems like a wise approach in Game 3.

Odds Overview

Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox (ESPN, SportsTime Ohio, NESN, DTV 662, DTV 206, DTV 628, 7:10 pm ET): RHP Rick Porcello and the Red Sox face RHP ace Trevor Bauer and the Indians at Fenway Park in Boston on Wednesday in Game 3 of this 3-game AL series. Offshore sportsbooks have Boston -125 favoriteswith the Total at 10 with the Run Line market seeing the Red Sox -1½ +155 with the Tribe +1½ -175. Boston won Game 1 on Monday, 6-2, followed by a Chris Sale-Carlos Carrasco pitching duel in Game 2 of the series on Tuesday night (BOS -146, 7o -111 Pinnacle). Heading into Tuesday, Boston lead the season series, 1-0 after going 4-2 vs. Cleveland in the 2016 MLB Regular Season.

Cleveland Indians

The defending AL-champion Indians  are coming off a tremendous month of July but after W8 straight, the Tribe lost at Chicago on Sunday and Game 1 in Boston on Monday, temporarily slowing their Summer roll as Cleveland could only muster 3 Runs in 2 games after scoring 66 in that 8-game Win streak (8.25 rpg). In Game 2 in Beantown on Tuesday night, Indians Manager Terry Francona employed a Starting Lineup of: SS Lindor, RF Guyer, LF Brantley, 2B Ramirez, DH Encarnación, 1B Santana, CF Jackson, C Gomes, 3B Urshela with Carlos Carrasco starting.

Looking at some recent Trends, we find the Indians (45-59 on Run Line) are an anemic 3-8 L11 on Wednesdays and 2-6 in Bauer’s L6 Wednesday starts but Cleveland was 7-1 L8 vs. a RHP Starter and 5-1 L6 vs. the AL East. The Under is 33-13-5 L51 Bauer Road Starts, 5-2 his L7 Starts overall and the Under is 17-5-4 his L26 Road Starts vs. Teams with Winning Records.

Boston Red Sox

Heading into Tuesday night, the Red Sox and Manager John Farrell had alternated Wins and Losses in their L6 games and Boston was dealing with some Injury issues with 2B Dustin Pedroia (.307, 54 RBI) being put on the DL with inflammation of the Knee, Andrew Benintendi out and C Sandy Leon also dealing with swelling in his Left Knee and only available in an emergency after hurting himself sliding into home plate. In Game 2 , Farrell put out a Starting Lineup of: RF Betts, LF Holt, 2B Núñez, DH Ramirez, CF Bradley Jr., 3B Devers, SS Bogaerts, C Vázquez with stud southpaw Chris Sale getting the pill. Of being called up to The Big Leagues, 20-year-old 3B phenom Rafael Devers said, “I still can’t believe I’m here.”

Boston ranks 7th in MLB in Batting Average (.261), 8th in OBP (.333), 12th in Runs (499) and a very telling 26th in Slugging Percentage, showing exactly how much this team really misses retired slugger David Ortiz. The Under is 4-0 L4 Red Sox Wednesday games and 7-0 the Carmines L7 Game 3’s of a series.

Boston Weather Forecast, Series Trends, Picks

TWC forecast for Boston on Wednesday night is currently calling for a few Clouds, a Low of 68° with SSW Winds of 5-10 mph and 80% Humidity. In his last Start, Indians hurler Trevor Bauer (9-8, 5.25 ERA) allowed 1 Run in 6.0 IP versus the Angles and lifetime against Boston, Bauer has allowed 11 Runs in 7.2 IP in 3 Starts while Red Sox pitcher and 2016 AL Cy Young-winner Rick Porcello (4-14, 4.54 ERA) gave up 4 Runs—2 HRs (allowed 25 HRs this season)—in 7.0 IP vs. Kansas City in his last start as he was tagged with his Major League Baseball-high 14th Loss.

The Indians (+350 to win AL, Bovada) were just 2-5 L7 at Boston heading into Tuesday with the Under a head-turning 6-1-1 L8 in this series and 4-0-1 L5 at historic Fenway Park, but with Porcello struggling, the Red Sox beat up and Bauer going for the visitors, backing the underdogs and the Trend-pointed Under are the picks on Yawkey Way for Wednesday night.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Indians 5 Red Sox 4Free MLB Picks: Indians +1½ -170, Under 10 -105 Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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