Chalky Dodgers Still Worthy of MLB Picks on Run Line Over Reds

Steven Suarez

Saturday, August 15, 2015 1:13 PM GMT

Saturday, Aug. 15, 2015 1:13 PM GMT

After getting back on track yesterday, the Dodgers can take a 2-1 lead in the series with another win tonight over the Reds. Let's review the MLB odds that are on offer.

Reds vs. Dodgers MLB Odds Overview
The Dodgers, unsurprisingly, are massive favorites for this evening's matchup. They're listed as high as -200 to secure the victory, a win that would push their overall record to 66-51. 

If you firmly believe in David Holmberg and the Reds, you can get a big price with MLB Picks at this time, as they're quoted at right around +175. As for the total, we see a number of 7.5 on the board.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers (Anderson)
As you probably know, LA is in the midst of a heated race for the top spot in the very competitive NL West. They're being chased by the defending World Series champs (San Francisco) and currently have a 2.5-game edge. Each and every game is incredibly important for the Dodgers going forward.

Tonight we'll have lefty Brett Anderson take the bump for LA. The Dodgers can't have too many complaints about what he's been able to produce this season, as he's been good for a 3.43 ERA over his 22 starts for the team this season. That ERA is inflated too, after Anderson was crushed for 10 hits and seven earned runs over five innings in his most recent start; before that start, his ERA was down at 3.06.

With plenty of motivation and Anderson showing to be reliable more often than not, LA will be liking its chances of going up 2-1 in the series after tonight is over and done with. 

 

Cincinnati Reds (Holmberg)
It's been a poor season for the Reds overall. They're 51-63 on the season and have fallen into the deep, dark depths of the NL Central. Cincinnati had won two in a row coming into yesterday, but the Dodgers came away with the 5-3 victory behind a solid outing from another left-hander in Alex Wood.

The Reds will be hoping to do more damage at the plate against Anderson, while they'll have southpaw David Holmberg on the mound. Through his first three starts, the 24-year-old has allowed exactly two earned runs in each outing, putting him at a 3.06 ERA and 1.25 WHIP across 17 and 2/3 innings. Holmberg's first starts of the season have come against San Diego, St. Louis and Pittsburgh, two of which came at home, and now faces one of his most difficult assignments inside Dodger Stadium.

Holmberg will be hoping the offense, led by the powerful Todd Frazier and Joey Votto, can make some things happen, but he'll know his team's success firmly rides on his individual showing on the bump.

 

MLB Pick
As you can probably see, we are liking the Dodgers a lot in this spot.

We have a completely different mindset in terms of motivation (the Dodgers need every win they can pick up, while the Reds are already planning for the future) here, and LA is going to do everything in its power to get after Holmberg. The left-hander has shown some good things over his first few starts, yet he hasn't showcased the best control.

While LA is better against right-handed pitching, it's not like these guys can't be productive against lefties either. This is one of the most loaded teams across the board, and the Dodgers will be at home to boot. They've got a lot of factors backing them up here, and that's why the MLB odds are what they are. So, since we're more confident than usual, we don't mind taking a chance on LA to win by two or more runs.

MLB Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+105) at 5Dimes

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