Cash in on Sunday's MLB Picks with Capper Catalano's Advice

Joe Catalano

Sunday, August 10, 2014 2:05 PM GMT

Sunday, Aug. 10, 2014 2:05 PM GMT

The later MLB games, which we will be focusing on, leave a lot to be desired where the starting pitching matchups are concerned. Let’s see if we can find some good betting prices for Sunday’s picks.

Capper Catalano Record: 160-138 -13.81 Units
If you’re going to make those bigger 2 unit plays, you have to nail them most of the time and lately we’ve hit a little bit of a road block as the 1 unit plays have been hitting but the 2 unit plays like Zack Greinke and the Los Angeles Dodgers came up short. Today would be a good spot for a winning day.

 

Minnesota Twins (51-64) vs. Oakland Athletics (72-44)
“Using Hughes”
The fact that Phil Hughes (11-8, 4.01) has been pitching well as of late will actually work in our favor. The Oakland Athletics have been the best team by far in the majors this season and with a formidable Hughes pitching on the opposing team, the odds won’t be in the -200’s despite Minnesota’s inability to defeat the A’s.

Oakland has a very solid ball club, but if you look at their roster and the numbers that they’ve been putting up, you wouldn’t think that they’re 28 games over .500 and leading the determined Los Angeles Angels by 4 games in the American League West Division.

Oakland will have something to think about as Phil Hughes has allowed just 4 runs in his last 12 innings pitched (2 starts) while A’s starter Jason Hammel (9-9, 3.70) has been merely average, but pitched 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his last start. The starting pitching matchup might actually favor Minnesota.

 

How Does Oakland Win?
I’ve already mentioned that Oakland’s power hitters are hitting in the .240’s and yet this team can’t seem to lose a ball game. Oakland wins by getting on base (4th in the majors on-base %) and having the big hitters knock the contact hitters in (1st in runs). Players such as Derek Norris (.396 OBP%) and Coco Crisp (.370 OBP %) have both shown the ability to either hit for average or walk and the walk is very underrated because it’s just as good as a hit. This should be a tight matchup. Minnesota doesn’t sport the most intimidating lineup, led by Brian Dozier, but Phil Hughes has been pitching well. I’m sticking with the team that’s been winning.

Free MLB Pick: Oakland -163 at 5 Dimes

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Sunday Night Baseball

Washington Nationals (63-52) vs. Atlanta Braves (59-57)
Starting A New Losing Streak?
The Atlanta Braves picked the wrong time to get into a major slump. They finally broke an 8 game losing streak 2 games ago, but went back to their losing ways with a 4-1 loss to the Nats yesterday.

The one thing working in the Braves favor in Sunday night’s game is that opposing pitcher Gio Gonzalez (6-8, 4.01) has hit his own losing streak and this could be an opportunity for the Braves to pick up a much needed game on Washington as there’s a 2 game swing that’s included in this game being that these two teams are both competing for the National League East Title.

 

Not the Same Gio
Gonzalez has held opposing hitters to a .237 batting average this season which is good, but he’s dropped his last 4 decisions. Not all of the blame can be placed on Gonzalez as the Nationals just don’t provide enough run support for the left hander.

Since July 10th, Gonzalez has allowed 16 runs in 26 2/3 innings (5 starts). This isn’t good enough to win ball games and he’s not even averaging 6 innings per start.

Atlanta sends Alex Wood (7-9 ,3.20) to the mound and if you look at his numbers, they look fairly good, but his defense has let him down and he hasn’t won a  ball game since July 20th.

Both of these teams have very formidable hitters such as Freddie Freeman and Justin Upton for the Braves and Jayson Werth, Adam LaRoche, and Anthony Rendon for the Nats, but there’s no legitimate superstar on either team. Freeman will certainly never be a Chipper Jones and Bryce Harper has underachieved. At one point in their careers, people thought that Harper would be better than Mike Trout.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, but losing 9 out of 10, they’re no favorite of mine.

Free MLB Pick: Washington +116 at 5 Dimes- 2 Units

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