Cardinals Upset Winner in the Big Apple on ESPN

St. Louis Cardinals

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, July 19, 2017 3:18 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jul. 19, 2017 3:18 PM GMT

With Milwaukee having lost three in a row, St. Louis has climbed to within three games in the loss column of the Brewers and will try and take Game 3 of a four-game series against the Mets.

St. Louis Cardinals vs N.Y. Mets

The Cardinals offense has been more consistent and their pitching has been stupendous, permitting 13 runs in winning five of seven times, which has included three shutouts. New York began the second half with a pair of wins over Colorado at home, but has since dropped three straight and again is floundering.

Keep reading to determine my choice for MLB picks for this ESPN encounter and later we will find out if I can better recent 26-18 record.

 

Pitching Matchup - Leake vs. deGrom

Mike Leake has pitched better than his 6-7 record indicates with a 3.14 ERA, which is well below his career norm of 3.94. A combination of poor run support and the St. Louis scoring runs after Leake has exited has kept his record down and he's just won one of his past nine starts (Cardinals 3-6). Despite the lack of overall success, the Cards right-hander is 4-2 on the road with an excellent 2.84 ERA and opposing batters are hitting just .219 against him. Leake has not faced New York in three years and is 2-3 with 2.74 ERA.

The Mets star-studded starting staff has been reduced to Jacob deGrom (10-3, 3.48). The righty has lately been at his best after some earlier struggles and is 6-0 with a sterling 1.53 ERA in his past half dozen outings, lasting at least seven innings each time. Since walking four to start the winning streak, deGrom has issued just four walks while striking out 41 in 39 innings. The Florida native is only 2-2 versus the Redbirds with a high 5.63 ERA.

 Cardinals Being Sparked by Young Players, While the Mets Lack Offensive Weapons

The St. Louis offense has not spectacular, but it has been grinding, with double digit hits in six of its past eight tilts. The improvement has come from the likes of Matt Carpenter (.253 BA), who has raised his average 43 points since June 7th. The Cardinals have also been energized by young players like Luke Voit (.295 BA) and Magneuris Sierra (.386 BA), which has given the club a needed jolt.

With Jay Bruce on the DL and Yoenis Cespedes battling a laundry list of nagging injuries, New York does not have many ways to score runs on a regular basis. Michael Conforto (.282 BA) has been the one shining light and Jose Reyes has tallied at least two hits in seven of his last dozen games played to help his club.

 

Betting Odds, Head to Head and Bullpen Numbers

Because of deGrom, the MLB odds have the Metropolitans as a -155 favorites with a total of 8. New York has lost six of nine at Citi Field to the Cards the last three seasons and the UNDER is 5-3-1. The Mets bullpen continues to like a bad Broadway show, with the 14th rated bullpen in the NL based on ERA, with St. Louis having improved all the way to third.

 The Winner Is...

Going against deGrom makes no sense, however, Leake has done the job on the road, St. Louis is playing well and has the better bullpen and the Cards are 16-5 versus teams with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.

Free MLB Play: St. Louis +138Best Betting Line: at 5Dimes

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