Cappers Picks Lincecum & Giants -115 vs. Braves

Jeff Grant

Monday, May 12, 2014 1:42 PM GMT

The San Francisco Giants have been known to start a home stand in the win column following a long road trip, as they welcome in the Atlanta Braves to the Bay Area Monday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League showdown at AT&T Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET.

Trouble scoring
Atlanta was fortunate to produce a 4-5 record on its recently completed nine-game home stand, considering it scored just 18 combined runs—leading directly to the 'under' going 7-1-1 in that span.

The Braves still hold a two-game lead over the Miami Marlins in the NL East division standings, which has been made possible by a pitching staff that leads all of baseball with a 2.64 ERA.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 3-2 as road underdogs of +100 to +125, while falling short of the betting total in four of those contests.


Glad to be Home
San Francisco is also sitting atop its division with a two-game lead, as it returns home from a 7-3 road trip, which ended by picking up a 7-4 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers as +156 underdogs Sunday.

The Giants have gone 10-5 in their first 15 home games during the 2014 campaign, with the bullpen leading the way with a 0.73 ERA in that situation.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 28-23 at this ballpark with a money line of -100 to -125.


Floyd
Braves starting pitcher Gavin Floyd (0-0, 1.29 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in his first outing of the season—allowing a single run and six hits in seven innings of work in a 2-1 home win over the St. Louis Cardinals last Tuesday.

The right-hander showed no ill effects of the Tommy John surgery he underwent last May, as he issued two walks and struck out five batters in his team debut.

Floyd is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two lifetime starts versus the Giants, but he hasn’t faced them since 2008.


Lincecum
Giants starting pitcher Tim Lincecum (2-2, 5.55 ERA) suffered a 4-3 road loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last trip to the mound, as he surrendered four runs and eight hits over four innings of work.

The right-hander is 0-1 with a 6.59 ERA in three home efforts, with opposing hitters batting .344 against him.

Lincecum has put together a 6-2 record and 2.24 ERA in eight career home starts versus the Braves.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Giants as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve gone 25-9 in their last 34 home games following a road trip of seven or more days.

[gameodds]3/263826/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]
MLB Free Pick
: San Francisco Giants -115