Capper Predicts High-Scoring Game: Phillies vs. Braves

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, June 17, 2014 1:13 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 17, 2014 1:13 PM UTC

A pair of struggling right-handers will take the hill Tuesday night at Turner Field, which will lead to a high-scoring affair between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League East matchup.

June gloom
Philadelphia is 28-43 during this particular calendar month since the start of the 2012 season, but it did manage to pick up a 6-1 extra-innings victory over Atlanta as +124 road underdogs Monday, while going 'over' the betting total of 6.5. The Phillies sit 5.5 games back of the Braves in the division standings—possessing a minus-36 run differential. 

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 12-15 versus teams with a winning record.

Fallen into a pattern
Atlanta has alternated wins and losses over its last five contests, while its bullpen has tossed 15.2 combined innings over its last three affairs. Braves outfielder Justin Upton will try to keep things going offensively, as he comes off his first multi-hit game in nearly three weeks, as he’s gone 5 for 14 with two home runs and four RBIs in his career against tonight’s opposing starter.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Atlanta Braves have put together a dominating 28-13 record as home favorites of -150 to -175.

Phillies starting pitcher Kyle Kendrick (2-6, 4.09 ERA) registered a 7-3 home victory over the San Diego Padres last time out, as he allowed two runs (one earned) and seven hits over six frames. The right-hander has produced a 0-8 record and 5.46 ERA in 11 road outings dating back to July of last season. In his last four efforts versus the Braves, Kendrick has produced a dismal 6.86 ERA, but each of those appearances came at Citizens Bank Park.

Braves starting pitcher Ervin Santana (5-3, 4.09 ERA) has given up at least five runs in four of his last six trips to the mound, which includes a 10-3 setback on the road to the Colorado Rockies last Thursday. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 4.28 ERA in five home starts—issuing nine walks and striking out 28 batters in 33.2 combined frames.Santana didn’t earn a decision in a 9-6 road victory over the Phillies on April 14, as he surrendered a single run on four hits over six innings of work.

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the 'over' is 8-3-1 in the Phillies’ last 12 road games.

Free MLB Pick: Over 7.5

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