Bumgarner on the Mound Sets Great Underdog Value to Giants vs. Struggling Mariners

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, June 17, 2015 2:04 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 17, 2015 2:04 PM UTC

Our resident MLB handicapping professional examines Wednesday’s game between the Giants and Mariners. Join us in reading this insightful betting preview article that culminates with a money line pick.

Mariners and Giants resume Four Game Set in Seattle
The Mariners will host the Giants on Wednesday at Safeco Field in Seattle with the first pitch coming at 10:10 PM ET. According to the MLB betting odds at Pinnacle, Seattle is a -140 money line favorite, and the posted total is 6.0. This will be the third of a four game home and away series between these teams. They split the first two games on Monday and Tuesday at San Francisco.


Starting Pitchers
The 2014 World Series MVP Madison Bumgarner will be on the mound tonight for San Francisco. Bumgarner has gone a terrific 21-6 in his road team starts since 2014, and that includes 5-1 this season. The southpaw hurler has displayed good form during his previous three starts, posting a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

The Mariners ace Felix Hernandez will look to get back on track after struggling mightily in two of his previous three starts. In his most recent outing, Hernandez was pulled from the game in the first inning against Houston after recording just one out. He had allowed 8 earned runs, 5 hits, walked 2, and was victimized by two home runs. He also had a rough time in his June 1st home start versus the Yankees, allowing 7 earned runs, 6 hits, and walked 5 in just 4 2/3 innings pitched. Sandwiched between those two dismal outings was a very good home start versus Tampa Bay which resulted in a 2-1 Seattle win.

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Giants end temporary Skid
By virtue of their 6-2 home win over Seattle last night, San Francisco put a halt to a five game losing streak. That winning drought all transpired at AT&T Park in San Francisco where the Giants have gone just 17-18 so far in 2015. On a positive note, they’ve also gone a more than respectable 18-13 on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game, and hitting a stellar .287 as a team. The Giants are an extremely profitable 17-8 this year when they’re +100 to +150 on the money line as they will be tonight.


Mariners Offensive Production Anemic
The Seattle Mariners have scored 3 runs or less in 17 of their previous 20 games, and that includes 2 or less in 9 of the last 13. Seattle has been a very disappointing 13-19 at home in 2015 and that includes 5-14 if they’re -100 to -150 on the money line.


Final Analysis
I’m a little skeptical about the performance lines by Felix Hernandez in recent starts, and it lends to a lack of confidence from a wagering perspective. Madison Bumgarner on the other hand rarely turns in a bad start, and should thrive when facing an opponent (Seattle) that’s struggling to score runs. My lean is toward the money line road underdog in this game, and that will be one of my MLB picks on Wednesday.

MLB Pick: San Francisco +130 over Seattle at Pinnacle.

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