Build Your Balance With These MLB Overnight Lines For Tuesday

Ian Cameron

Monday, May 16, 2016 7:26 PM UTC

Monday, May. 16, 2016 7:26 PM UTC

Let's take look at MLB Overnight Betting Lines for the best two games taking place on Tuesday, and stay ahead of the chalk to maximize your winnings with our early MLB Picks.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Wade Miley will face Ubaldo Jimenez on Tuesday night in the series opener between the Mariners and Orioles. Miley has been marginally better in his last few starts but the home run is still plaguing him as he’s allowed 4 home runs in his last two starts over a span of 12 innings pitched and that is dangerous territory facing the power laden Orioles lineup here at Camden Yards and Baltimore is in very fine current form at the plate scoring 52 runs in their last 8 games while notching a strong 7-1 record in those games.

Miley also has a disastrous track record against Baltimore as he started twice against them with Boston last season and was crushed in both outings allowing 12 runs on 14 hits in 6.1 innings of work over those pair of starts. However, while I expect Baltimore to be able to score some runs here, I’m not trusting of Ubaldo Jimenez to get the job done here against the Seattle lineup. Jimenez has shown steady decline in recent starts with a 6.11 ERA in his last three starts allowing 13 runs on 25 hits in 17.2 innings and nearly as many walks (9) as strikeouts (11) during that stretch.

The Mariners came alive offensively last week and carried it into the weekend as they’ve scored 30 runs in their last 6 games combined and they should be able to take advantage of Jimenez here as he has been very hittable while also struggling with command. The total sits at 8.5 on the MLB odds board for this game and that is a reasonable plateau to bet this game Over the total.

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Free MLB Pick: Over 8.5 -120
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
Carlos Rodon is the epitome of a pitching enigma. He is a guy that has the delivery to be a strong top 2 or 3 starter in any rotation but consistency has eluded him throughout his early career with the White Sox. He has a 4.99 ERA this season and is coming off a rough outing against Texas allowing 6 runs in 6.2 innings yet despite his struggles, Rodon still may be the pitcher with the upper hand in this matchup against Dallas Keuchel who continues his downward spiral in 2016 and remains a significantly worse starter on the road than at home. 

Keuchel has a career road ERA of 4.60 which is almost two runs higher than his home ERA and he was lit up by Boston in his last start at Fenway Park allowing 8 runs on 10 hits in 6 innings of work. Opposing hitters are showing a lot more patience and discipline against Keuchel’s delivery which usually consists of pitching to both sides of the plate and living on the edges of the strike zone. He has given up four homers in the last two games and nine walks in the past three while permitting 26 runs during his five game winless stretch.

Houston remains a money burner on the road as the Astros have a woeful 5-14 road record this season while Chicago is 10-5 at home. This is a line solely based on reputation rather than the current reality. Keuchel was the better pitcher on the better team last season, not now. So far in 2016, the Chicago White Sox have proven to be the better team (with arguably the better lineup and bullpen right now too) and I trust Carlos Rodon more than I trust Dallas Keuchel right now making the White Sox an exceptional value play as an MLB pick for a home underdog on Tuesday night.

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Free MLB Pick: White Sox +103
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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