Brewers vs. Tigers MLB Picks: Milwaukee Underdogs Going Out of Frying Pan & Into the Fire!

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, May 18, 2015 2:32 PM GMT

Monday, May. 18, 2015 2:32 PM GMT

Milwaukee visits Detroit for the first of a 3-game set between teams who have not met since 2009. Pay attention to the YTD hitting numbers before placing your MLB picks. 

Milwaukee Brewers (Fiers) at Detroit Tigers (Lobstein) (-140) 7:05 ET
This game features a huge hitting advantage favoring the home standing Tigers against a Milwaukee team, who is looking to overcome a miserable start.   The YTD hitting numbers tell you all you need to know about the fundamental reasons why these teams have greatly divergent records.  Detroit has a .778 OPS, 2nd in MLB, which includes a .281 BA, .347 OBP and .431 SLG.  Those three numbers are all in the top 3 in MLB.  Today, they face off against a Milwaukee pitching staff, which has a .780 OPS, 3rd worst in baseball, reflected by their 4.73 team ERA (also the 3rd worst in baseball).  

Milwaukee started the year at 7-18.  On May 4th, they fired 5th year Manager, Ron Roenicke, replacing him with Craig Counsell.  The move appeared to spark the Brewers, as they went 5-5 on the ensuing home stand.  But a 1-2 series weekend at the NY Mets may be more representative of their future.  In the last 5 games, Milwaukee has scored just 13 runs with a .195 BA that includes scoring just 2 runs against the Mets on Saturday and Sunday.  Now, the Brewers go to Detroit in what can only be seen as a situation that has them going out of the frying pan and into the fire!  For, Fiers has posted a record of 1-4 with a 5.00 ERA following a promising 2014 season. 

After taking 2 of 3 from the best team in the National League, the St. Louis Cardinals, Detroit still trails KC for the division lead by 1 game.  That means they understand they cannot afford to look past this struggling Milwaukee team.  Detroit has been one of the most consistent teams in baseball in the last 3 seasons with victories of 88, 93 and 90 victories.  This year, despite losing top of the rotation pitchers, Scherzer, (to Washington) and Verlander (to injury), they continue to excel.  A poor outing by Lobstein, in a 6-2 loss to a hot-hitting Minnesota team, cannot hide the fact that in his previous 4 outings, Lobstein had posted a 2.57 ERA.  Now facing the weak-hitting, ice-cold bats of Milwaukee, place your MLB picks expecting Lobstein to return to the form of those previous 4 outings. 

Though one might expect the MLB odds favored Tigers to be a bit flat following a 3-game set at St. Louis, highlighted by ESPNs Sunday night baseball, the fact they trail the Royals by a game in the standings will keep them motivated against a Milwaukee team who should present little challenge.

MLB Picks: Detroit -136 at BetOnline

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