Braves vs. Reds 3-Game Series MLB Odds & Daily Picks

Willie Bee

Monday, May 11, 2015 11:05 AM UTC

Monday, May. 11, 2015 11:05 AM UTC

Cincinnati claimed Game 2 against Atlanta on Tuesday, and the Reds can climb back to .500 with another win Wednesday when they finish off the MLB odds set with the Braves.


13th MAY
Wednesday's Game 3

By: Willie Bee



For the second consecutive night, the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds waited until the ninth inning to decide matters. Tuesday's game-winner was provided by a Devin Mesoraco RBI double, sending Reds fans home happy in walk-off style and sending this series to a decisive third game.

Not only is the series tied a game apiece heading into tonight's 7:10 PM (ET) matchup, but the season series between the Braves and Reds is also level at 3-3 as the clubs prepare for their final regular season clash. Atlanta turns to Eric Stults in hopes of winning its first road series in nearly a month, Cincinnati calling up Raisel Iglesias from the minors to keep the regular in its rotation on the regular schedule.

Despite this being only the second MLB appearance for Iglesias, the Reds are favored around -140 on the MLB betting odds where an 8 run total generally favors the low side.


Reds Call Up Iglesias For Spot Start
Stults has three quality starts among his six assignments, but the Braves lost two of those to stand 2-4 (-1.75 units) when the southpaw climbs the hill. Now in his ninth season and with his fifth MLB team, two of the Indiana native's three quality efforts have come on the road, including last Friday's contest in DC (6 IP, 3 ER, 2 HR).

The Reds also got to him for a couple of long balls in scoring six runs during Stults' seven innings of work a start before that. This will be his first start in Cincinnati since he was with the Dodgers in 2008, his Stults' three subsequent appearances at Great American Ball Park each coming in relief.

Iglesias is making his second emergency start of the season for the Reds, the first one coming April 10 in his major league debut vs. the Cardinals, a no-decision for the Cuban (5 IP, 3 ER) and a 7-5 Cincinnati loss. The 25-year-old was used primarily out of the bullpen in the minors before this spring, getting three exhibition starts before joining the rotation in Louisville.

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Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Cory Blaser is scheduled for his seventh plate assignment of 2015, four of the previous six finishing 'under' on the baseball betting board. The youngest member of Jeff Nelson's umpire crew has donned the mask three times in Cincinnati, and each one fell short of the scoreboard mark.

A nice evening is in store for fans at Great American Ball Park, the weatherman calling for clear skies and 67º for the start of the game with just a hint of a northerly breeze (in from right). With Aroldis Chapman having pitched three straight days for the Reds, I've got to wonder if Cincinnati's closer is available tonight, and that's enough reason for me to take the Braves (+130) for my free MLB pick.



12th MAY
Tuesday's Game 2

By: Willie Bee



Cincinnati closer Aroldis Chapman proved hittable for a second straight appearance, but it was one wild laser well out of the strike zone that cost the Reds and helped the Atlanta Braves end a 3-game skid with a 2-1 victory in Monday's series opener.

Atlanta can pick up its third consecutive season series Tuesday against the Reds, the 7:10 PM (ET) first pitch at Great American Ball Park featuring a couple of young hurlers in Mike Foltynewicz and Anthony DeSclafani. Cincinnati is drawing chalk on the MLB betting odds board, backing the Reds costing about a buck-fifty; after the two teams couldn't get near a 7½ run total in Game 1, the scoreboard hurdle this evening has been raised a half to 8.


Mound Duel A Rematch From May 1
After beginning the year at Triple-A Gwinnett, Foltynewicz was called up at the end of April to join the Atlanta bullpen and made his season debut when the Reds were visiting on May 1. He got the win in that start, limiting Cincinnati to two earned runs in five innings, and followed up with another victory over Philadelphia at home last Wednesday (5.1 IP, 4 ER).

The former 1st-round pick by the Astros in 2010, Foltynewicz is having the same problem he suffered coming up through the Houston system, control. He has walked six in his first 10+ innings this year, adding to the 13 hits allowed for a lofty 1.83 WHIP.

DeSclafani took the loss in the May 1 contest in Atlanta, one of three straight after the Reds began the season with three consecutive wins behind the young righty. A 2-run homer by Kelly Johnson did the former Florida Gator in after he'd also allowed a 2-run double to Foltynewicz. DeSclafani's only other appearance vs. Cincinnati was a scoreless relief inning at Great American Ball Park last year.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Sam Holbrook is back after missing last season due to the death of his wife, tonight marking his sixth plate assignment of 2015 and second in Cincinnati. The Kentucky native began the season with three consecutive 'overs' -- all closing with 7½ run totals -- before working a couple of 'under' winners.

The rain that delayed last night's contest more than an hour-&-a-half is long gone, leaving clear skies along with some wind for Game 2. The match should be played in the mid-60s for the most part, with a 10-15 mph wind from the west (out to left, left-center).

Both teams had chances to break last night's game open but failed, and both teams are having some confidence issues on the back ends of their bullpens. Chapman has lost two straight games after beginning the year with 13 scoreless appearances, and Jason Grilli has been taking time off for the Braves due to a cranky back. I'm coming right back with a play on the 'Over' (+100) for my free MLB pick on Tuesday.

Free MLB Picks: Braves and Reds to go Over at BookMaker.

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11th MAY
Monday's Series Opener

By: Willie Bee



Unless the playoffs beckon both the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds to participate, the next three days at Great American Ball Park are your last chances to catch them in a matchup on the 2015 baseball betting card.

Monday's 7 PM (ET) broadcast on ESPN is a mound rematch we saw just from the final day of April as Shelby Miller opposes Mike Leake. Cincinnati is showing up as -140 chalk on the MLB odds at GTBets, and what started as an 8 run total has been knocked down to 7½.

Just six weeks into the schedule, the teams complete their regular season series against one another the next three days. They met in Atlanta just a couple of weeks ago, splitting a 4-game set, the totals running 1-2-1 O/U/P, possibly a third 'under' depending when bettors got down on the May 1 matchup.

They also split four games in Porkopolis a year ago, leaving the Reds 28-18 in regular season games at CABP, their only playoff matchup resulting in a sweep for Atlanta in the 1995 NLCS. Last year's series on this field was yet another that finished 1-2-1 O/U/P, 1-3 depending when wagers were made. The Reds lost five straight to the Braves last season before winning the final two, and have now won four of the last six.


Miller Aims For Revenge Against Leake, Redlegs
Atlanta (14-17, -1.3 units) is coming off a sweep in Washington over the weekend to begin a 9-game road trip, the final two losses coming in the Nationals' final at bats. The Braves are basically playing .333 ball since their 5-0 start to the season, and one of the bigger issues has been a bullpen that ranks 13th in the NL with a 4.76 ERA, 46 free passes in less than 97 innings behind that number.

Miller may have started the season No. 3 in Atlanta's rotation, but the righty has pitched like a No. 1 so far. The Braves have won five of six, the lone loss less than two weeks ago vs. Leake and the Reds as a small home pup on the closing baseball betting lines. It was still a quality effort for Miller (7 IP, 2 ER) who struck out nine would-be Cincinnati hitters.

He had seen them for six starts prior to that while pitching for St. Louis, the Cards winning four of them while Miller pitched to a 3.38 ERA (34.3 IP). The Houston native tossed seven shutout innings for the win last September in his last appearance on this mound.


Reds Finish May With 13 Of 18 At Home
Cincinnati (15-16, -0.4 units) is coming off a 10-game roadie that began with the split in Atlanta before dropping the final two at the White Sox this weekend. In between was a series triumph in Pittsburgh for a respectable 5-5 excursion. The Reds have spent about two-thirds of the early schedule on the road, so the next seven days at home are crucial in order to stay close to the Cardinals in the NL Central standings.

Leake helped snap Cincy's 5-game skid vs. the Braves a year ago, scoring the game's only run last August 23 on this diamond and combining with Aroldis Chapman on a 3-hit shutout. He extended his scoreless string against the Braves to 20 -- and kept a current streak of 16 alive -- with eight more blank frames 11 days ago in Atlanta where he also homered in the 5-1 Reds triumph. The former Sun Devil standout is 4-2 in seven career assignments against Atlanta, a shiny 2.03 ERA showing for nearly 39 innings of work.

On the weather front, the bad news is Monday evening in the 45202 doesn't look so hot with a 50% chance of thunderstorms possibly delaying the start or interrupting the game; the good news is it's supposed to clear and the rest of the week looks hunky dory. I'm also of the opinion that the 'over' 7½ will be hunky dory for my free MLB pick tonight.

Free MLB Picks: Braves and Reds to go Over 7½ at GTBets

Season: 24-20-2 (+3.45)

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