Braves vs. Mets: Bet on a Low-Scoring Game

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, July 1, 2014 2:32 PM GMT

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets send out two struggling pitchers Tuesday night, but they’ll be helped out by a home plate umpire in keeping things under control at Turner Field. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League East matchup.


Wright is missed
New York has dropped four of its last five games, including a 5-3 defeat to the Atlanta Braves as +156 road underdogs Monday, while going over the betting total of 7.

The Mets have scored just 14 runs over that recent stretch, as they continue to play without the services of star third baseman David Wright, who is out with a bruised left rotator cuff.

MLB handicappers will find that the NY Mets are 2-7 as underdogs of +150 to +175 this season, with the 'over' going 5-2-2 in that situation.


Streaking
Atlanta has won five games in a row, but it’ll have a hard time continuing that success in the early going this month, as catcher Evan Gattis is headed to the 15-day disabled list with a back injury.

The Braves will need first baseman Freddie Freeman to step it up offensively, as he’s batting .423 and driven in 17 runs in his last 13 games in this rivalry.  

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Atlanta Braves are a solid 29-15 as home favorites of -150 to -175, with the 'under' going 25-15-4 in those 44 opportunities.


Matsuzaka
Mets starting pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka (3-2, 3.23 ERA) will look to snap a personal two-game losing streak, which includes a 5-2 road defeat to the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out, as he allowed a season-high five runs and five hits over six frames.

The right-hander is 1-2 with a 4.94 ERA in 11 road appearances (three starts)—issuing 19 walks and striking out 22 batters in 27.1 combined innings.

In three career starts versus the Braves, Matsuzaka is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA.


Minor
Braves starting pitcher Mike Minor (2-5, 4.50 ERA) is also going through a losing streak of his own, as he dropped this third consecutive decision in suffering a 6-1 setback on the road to the Houston Astros last week—surrendering five runs and seven hits over six frames.

The left-hander is 1-4 with a 4.33 ERA in six home games, with opposing hitters batting .297 against him.

In nine lifetime efforts versus the Mets, Minor has compiled a 4-2 record and 4.88 ERA.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the 'under' is 15-5-2 in umpire Dale Scotts’ last 22 games behind home plate.

Scotts’ 17 games this season have averaged just 6.94 runs a contest.

Free MLB Pick: Under 7.5 runs

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