Braves vs. Dodgers MLB Picks: Note Slugging Percentage & WHIP Before Betting Run Totals

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, May 27, 2015 4:21 PM GMT

Before placing MLB picks on Tuesday's Braves vs. Dodgers, check out this insightful article which culminates with a selection on the total using a very profitable betting system.

Braves invade Dodger Stadium on Tuesday
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday at 10:10 PM ET. According to MLB odds, the Dodgers are a -240 money line favorite, and the posted total is 6.0. This will be the second of a three game series, and the Dodgers prevailed on Monday by the score of 6-3. By virtue of Monday’s game going over the total of 7.0, the Dodgers are 18-7-1 over the total at home, and Atlanta is 26-16-2 over the number in 2015.

Read Braves vs. Dodgers Daily MLB Picks: Rivalry Dating Back to 1890

Starting Pitchers
Right-hander Julio Teheran will make the start tonight for Atlanta. He’s struggled in his five starts on the road, going 4-1 over the total, posting a lofty 5.88 ERA, compiling a terrible 1.89 WHIP, and allowed seven home runs in just 26.0 innings pitched. Teheran is 0-3 in his career team starts versus the Dodgers with an unimpressive 6.50 ERA. All three of those outings have come since 2013.

The 2014 National League Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw will take the mound on Monday. Kershaw is off to an inauspicious beginning to the season, going 4-5 in his team starts, and has uncharacteristically high by his standards 4.32 ERA. As a matter of fact, the Dodgers southpaw hurler has been less than stellar during his last three starts, evidenced by a 5.49 ERA in those outings.

 

Home Plate Umpire
Dana Demuth is slated to be calling balls and strikes tonight at Dodger Stadium. This will be his ninth time as a home plate umpire in 2015, and he’s seen seven of those first eight games go over the total. Those eight times behind the dish for Demuth this season have averaged a combined 10.4 runs scored per game.

 

MLB Totals Betting System
The Dodgers have an impressive .449 slugging percentage this season. However, they’ve hit a paltry .222 as a team over their previous ten games. The Braves bullpen has posted a collective WHIP of 1.34 in 2015. When combining all of this statistical data it creates a very profitable totals betting system, and I’ll use that valuable tool when making my MLB picks on Tuesday.

Any National League team (Dodgers) that has a slugging percentage of .430 or better, and has hit .225 or less as a team during their previous ten games, versus an opponent (Braves) that has a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or less, resulted in that team going 85-43 (66.4%) over the total since 1997. Those 128 games averaged 10.2 runs scored per contest.

MLB Picks: Play the Braves and Dodgers to go over the total of 6.0 at Bookmaker.