Blue Jays vs. Mariners MLB Picks: Power pitchers Manoah, Ray battle in Seattle
Two teams headed in opposite directions meet Saturday when the Toronto Blue Jays continue their road series against the Seattle Mariners. Here are our Blue Jays-Mariners picks.
Alek Manoah and Robbie Ray have performed as two of the top pitchers in the American League recently. How will each fare in a battle between AL wild-card hopefuls Saturday?
Here are my MLB picks and predictions for Saturday's game between the Blue Jays and Mariners (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game Info
Date: Saturday, July 9, 10:10 p.m. ETTV: ROOT SPORTS Northwest, SportsnetLocation: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WAWeather: 66 degrees, cloudy, 5-mph winds (domed stadium, if necessary)
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds Analysis
The Blue Jays opened as road favorites at -125 on the moneyline. The gap in the odds has narrowed with Toronto to -118 (FanDuel) and Seattle to even money. The Mariners are 31-19 this season when playing as underdogs on the run line. The Blue Jays are 23-45 covering the run line as favorites in 2022.
The total opened at seven runs before bumping up to 7.5 at DraftKings. We're seeing a 47-53 split of money wagered on the total, with Under being the lean. Games involving the Blue Jays this season are 46-38-1 toward the Over, while Seattle trends slightly Under at 40-43-2 on Overs.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Projected Pitchers
Alek Manoah (9-3, 2.33 ERA, 0.987 WHIP) vs. Robbie Ray (7-6, 3.62 ERA, 1.121 WHIP)
Manoah ranks third in the American League in ERA and fourth in WHIP on the season. He's been invincible against right-handed hitters, with a league-best 0.68 WHIP against them. Look for Seattle to stack its lineup with lefties and switch-hitters as a result.
Ray has thrown five consecutive quality starts, allowing no more than one run in any of those outings. He has lowered his ERA from 4.97 to 3.62 over that span. The few Blue Jays who have faced him in their careers have hit well against Ray, led by George Springer's .417/.500/.833 batting line in 14 plate appearances.
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Blue Jays vs. Mariners Picks
Moneyline: Blue Jays (-118 via FanDuel)????Run line: Blue Jays -1.5 (+140 via DraftKings)????Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-115 via DraftKings)???Player prop: George Springer: 2+ total bases (+125 via FanDuel)?????
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Blue Jays vs. Mariners ML Pick
Blue Jays (-118)
The Blue Jays are hitting .258 against lefties this season, sixth-best in MLB. With Ray's tendency for walks (3.1 BB/9), base runners could pile up against him Saturday. Nobody outside of Carlos Santana within Seattle's offense has experience facing Manoah, which could spell an advantage for the pitcher.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners RL Pick
Blue Jays -1.5 (+140)
For Toronto to cover the run line, they'll need to cash in when Ray gives them ducks on the pond. On the season, the Jays have a .758 OPS with runners on base, 11th in MLB. Though the Blue Jays have struggled offensively of late, this feels like a chance to break out given the lineup's historical success against Ray.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners O/U Pick
Over 7.5 (-115)
Anticipating a break to Ray's hot stretch, I'm looking Over here. Though I expect a quality start from Manoah, the Toronto bullpen trends toward the bottom of the league with a 4.31 ERA. One late hiccup could turn this into a low-key shootout relative to the soft total of 7.5 runs.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prop Bet
Springer 2+ total bases (+125)
Springer is 5-for-12 with two doubles and a home run against Ray in his career, which equates to a boisterous 1.333 OPS. I expect the slugging outfielder to bust out of a recent dry spell with this favorable matchup.
Where to Bet on Blue Jays-Mariners Picks
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Blue Jays-Mariners picks made 7/9/2022 at 12:30 p.m. ET.