Our resident handicapping professional is on fire with his MLB totals in recent days. He’ll be fanning the flames with his two best total picks on Monday’s card.
Yankees (Sabathia) vs. Rays (Ramirez) 7:10 PM ET
C.C. Sabathia has displayed shaky form over his previous three starts, posting a lofty 4.50 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in those outings. He’s been pretty much erratic for the majority of this 2015 MLB campaign, evidenced by his 26 home runs allowed in 25 starts, and that doesn’t even begin to tell the whole story. The Yankees have allowed 6.1 runs per game, and opposing hitters have amassed a .492 slugging percentage against them during their previous seven contests.
Erasmo Ramirez has a large 6.20 ERA in his last four starts, and surrendered 5 home runs in just 20 1/3 innings pitched. The Rays are averaging 5.0 runs per game and had an impressive .803 slugging percentage over their last seven games. During that same time frame, they’ve also allowed 5.0 runs per game. The Rays are 10-4 over the total in their last fourteen at home. They’re coming off a 2-0 loss to Boston on Sunday. Tampa Bay is 15-4 over the total this season at home following a game in which they scored 2 runs or less.
I like this game to be a relatively high scoring affair. According to current MLB betting odds, Heritage is the only major sportsbook with a total of 7.5 on this game, and the rest are at 8.0.
Astros (Kazmir) vs. Rangers (Hamels) 8:05 PM ET
Scott Kazmir has been dominant in four starts versus Texas this season. That’s evidenced by his excellent 1.34 ERA and miniscule 0.77 WHIP during those outings.
Cole Hamels is 5-0 in his last five team starts with a stellar 3.34 ERA. The Rangers have gone 8-2 under the total in the last ten, and had a horrible .211 team batting average over their previous seven games. The Rangers are coming off a 12-4 win on Sunday. They’ve gone 16-2 under the total this season following a game in which there was a combined 15 runs or more scored.
I like this huge AL West matchup on Monday to be a low scoring and old fashioned pitcher’s duel. One of my MLB picks on Monday will be indicative of that prediction.