Betting Trends Support That Yankees & Orioles Will Go 'Under' 8

Jake Walker

Saturday, April 8, 2017 1:17 AM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 8, 2017 1:17 AM UTC

The Orioles and the Yankees continue their three-game series in Baltimore. The Orioles are at -112 on the MLB odds board while the Yankees are at +104 and the total has been set at 8.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees

Jacoby Ellsbury had three hits against the Rays last Wednesday, including a home run off Alex Cobb but Michael Pineda allowed four runs and eight hits in 3 2/3 innings and the Yankees lost 4-1 in the series finale against the Rays.

The Yankees currently rank 20th in the majors with nine runs scored, 15th with a .248 batting average and 17th with three home runs. New York is 19th in the majors with a 3.96 ERA and 22nd with a 1.36 WHIP. Chase Headley is hitting .636 with one home run and Ronald Torreyes has one home run and three RBI.


Baltimore Orioles

Dylan Bundy allowed one run and four hits with eight strikeouts over seven innings and Adam Jones and Chris Davis homered as the Orioles beat the Blue Jays 3-1 last Wednesday.

As of this writing, the Orioles rank 27th in the majors with six runs scored, 23rd with a .206 batting average and 14th with three home runs. Baltimore is second in MLB with a 1.35 ERA and 17th with a 1.25 WHIP. Adam Jones has one home run and a team-best two RBI and Wellington Castillo has a .429 batting average.


Pitching Matchup
Masahiro Tanaka (0-1, 23.63 ERA) vs. Kevin Gausman (0-0, 3.38 ERA) 

Masahiro Tanaka pitched 2 2/3 innings in Sunday's 7-3 loss to the Rays, giving up seven earned runs on eight hits. Tanaka went 7-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 16 road starts last season and he pitched eight scoreless innings but got a no-decision in his only start against the Orioles last year.

Kevin Gausman allowed two runs on five hits with four strikeouts in 5 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays last Monday but he got a no-decision. Gausman went 6-2 with a 2.67 ERA in 12 home starts last season and he was 3-1 with a 1.10 ERA in six starts against the Yankees last year.


Betting Trends

The 'under' is 3-1 in New York's last four games, 4-0 in Baltimore's last four games, 9-1 in Gausman's last 10 starts, 5-0 in Gausman's last five starts against the Yankees and 2-0 in Gausman's two starts with Tanaka as the opposing pitcher.  


Final Analysis 

It's hard to figure out what the Yankees want. They don't know if they want to contend or rebuild but it's safe to say that their offense is not impressive at all. The Orioles rely on Trumbo, Davis, Machado and Jones putting the ball out of the park but they're also struggling to score early on. The betting trends support taking 'under' 8 at -107 MLB odds at Pinnacle. Tanaka and Gausman have been successful against their respective opponents and this is a high total. I'm taking 'under' 8 with my MLB picks.  

Free MLB Pick: 'under' 8 (-107)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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