Betting MLB Rivals: Yankees vs. Red Sox

Joe Catalano

Sunday, June 29, 2014 2:09 PM GMT

Sunday, Jun. 29, 2014 2:09 PM GMT

The best rivalry in Major League Baseball will be played out one more time tonight as the New York Yankees(41-38) host the Boston Red Sox (37-44) on Sunday Night Baseball. Here is our recommended betting strategy to apply.

First pitch is set for 8:00 pm ET sharp at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, N.Y. This game can be seen on the ESPN Network.

This is an even matchup according to odds makers, as John Lackey (8-5, 3.45) starts for the Bosox, and he’s opposed by inexperienced starter Chase Whitley (3-1, 4.07).


A Heated Rivalry
The Red Sox, who have had a really poor season after a World Championship in 2013, have a legitimate shot at taking two straight from the Bombers at home. Last night’s game was epic as Masahiro Tanaka pitched a complete game only to have it spoiled by Mike Napoli’s 9th inning home run in a 2-1 Red Sox win. The stakes are always high when these two teams get together no matter what their records are. It’s all about bragging rights as both teams have an actual hate for eachother.


Power Outage
You would figure with such a short right field porch that the Yankees would have a ton of home runs. That’s not the case as New York’s lineup lacks the reliable power hitter that most teams have.

Mark Teixiera, who is often injured, is the only legitimate power bat in the Yanks lineup. Tex won’t hit for average because he swings for the fences. On the season, Teixiera has 14 HR and 40 RBI in 206 at-bats. Brian McCann is next in line with 9 home runs, but he, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Carlos Beltran have been a huge disappointment this season as the Yankees new acquisitions. I expect them to pick it up in the 2nd half of the season. For Ellsbury, he’s getting outplayed by a guy that the Red Sox expected nothing from.


Brock Holt
The Red Sox leadoff hitter doesn’t get payed nearly what Ellsbury gets payed, but he’s been a better hitter this season than his counterpart in Ellsbury.

The Boston Red Sox lineup has been unreliable as they rank 27th in the league in runs and 24th in batting average, but one player that has saved their bacon has been Brock Holt.

In 193 at-bats, Holt is hitting .321 with 2 HR and 17 RBI. This is clearly an up and coming star and he’s hitting 46 points better than anyone on the Red Sox roster.


Complacent?
Dustin Pedroia, who is the team leader, has seen a major dropoff this season as he’s hitting just .268 with 4 HR and 27 RBI. Pedroia and David Ortiz are the straws that stir the Red Sox drink. Although Ortiz is getting older, the Sox need production from these two men if they intend to contend for a post season berth.

Thus far, Mike Napoli appears to be the go-to-guy in crucial situations. Last night was proof of that, but Napoli doesn’t have the star status that Ortiz and Pedroia have.

The Red Sox definitely have the edge in starting pitching tonight with the experienced John Lackey.

In his last start, Chase Whitley got bombed for 8 runs and 11 hits in just 3 1/3 innings. I would’ve expected Joe Girardi to give Whitley the hook earlier in the game, but this is called growing pains in the game of baseball. If New York is to win tonight, their bats will need to wake up.


Outcome
Even though the Red Sox came out on top, their offense isn’t any better than New York’s. Look for the Yankees to get a little retribution from last night’s loss in front of the fans at Yankee Stadium and a national audience on ESPN.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees -104 at 5 Dimes

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