Whenever I notice MLB odds setting an American League matchup with a run total as low as 7, I do a double-take. That's the case today between the Blue Jays & the Chicago White Sox.
Blue Jays vs. White Sox Betting Preview
MLB odds makers have come out with a total of this game as mentioned at 7 with regular juice at -110. That is pretty much the standard line at every sports book, but at Pinnacle sports you can get under the total at -106. Most likely this line is not going to move very much but the juice might change a little bit depending on the book.
Mark Buehrle takes the mound for the Blue Jays with a 3.64 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Since the beginning of June he has been outstanding allowing only eight earned runs in 43 innings, and the 36-year-old veteran doesn't do it by striking out a lot of guys. Also, the former White Sox pitcher should be fairly comfortable pitching in his old yard.
For the White Sox Chris Sale gets the start and has been one of the best pitchers in the American League over the past five years. He comes in with a 2.87 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. Like Buehrle since the beginning of June he has been lights out and strangely enough has numbers almost exactly like him allowing just nine runs over 43 innings. Both these left-handed pitchers have the kind of stuff to keep even the best hitting teams in check, to me it seems MLB odds makers are on top of this game thus the low number.
At the Plate
The Blue Jays are one of the top hitting teams in the league and are coming off of a fine offensive performance against Verlander and the Tigers. Toronto is ranked number one in the major leagues in runs scored per game, but the White Sox are ranked 27th. There is not a lot of digging that needs to be done to show the disparity between these two teams at the plate. Toronto ranks among the top five in almost every major offensive category while the White Sox rank in the bottom of the league in those same categories. In on base plus slugging percentage the disparity really comes to light with Toronto ranked number one in the league and the White Sox ranked second to last.
Toronto has been consistently one of the best hitting teams in the league, but there are times when even they can struggle at the plate. In their series against the Red Sox just last week, in the first two games they went for one run and then three runs. I look for Sale to pitch really well against them today and keep the total down. On top of that I don't think the White Sox can generate enough offense against Buehrle, this game should stay well below the seven, back the under.
MLB Picks: Under 7