Betting Baseball - Yankees and A's Hang Lots of Crooked Numbers for OVER Wager

Doug Upstone

Saturday, June 17, 2017 5:59 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 17, 2017 5:59 PM UTC

The Oakland A's might not be very good, but like Dorothy said in the movie - The Wizard of Oz - "There is no place like home." Can the Athletics make more late-innings magic today?

Oakland has taken the first two games in the series by virtue of somehow having the better bullpen, which not true in the scope of the season, but certainly true in the last couple contests.

The Yankees need some pitching and are turning to what has been an untrustworthy source in Masahiro Tanaka. Here is to hoping I am not that way for MLB picks and I will look to better recent 12-7 record here.


Pitching Matchup - Tanaka vs. Hahn

It has been a wild season for Tanaka (5-6, 6.07 ERA) and by wild we mean crazy. The right-hander has seen opposing batters hit nearly 50 points higher than his career norms (.287 vs. .240). Tanaka might be earning a nickname he does want either in "gopher", having already allowed 18 home runs. Based on his 72 2/3 innings, that one long ball every four innings pitched on average. He has not put together consecutive quality starts since April, but is 3-1 with a 1.29 ERA against Oakland.

Jesse Hahn (2-4, 3.56) has returned from triceps strain and surrendered three earned runs in 11 innings covering two starts. Control has always been Hahn's undoing and after being pounded throughout his career by left-handed batters (.281 BA and 15 of his 18 home runs permitted), he's evidently being extremely careful, with 15 of 21 walks provided to lefties in 2017. Hahn is 0-2 versus New York with 5.40 ERA and has been taken deep three times.


Balls Could Be Flying This Afternoon in Oak-Town

The Left Coast has not been kind to the Yankees on this road trip at 1-4. Pitching, not hitting as been the problem as the Bronx Bombers have been living up to that moniker in tallying 8.0 runs per contest in their last 10 outings. We know Aaron Judge has been a monster, however, Starlin Castro, Aaron Hicks and Didi Gregorius have been striping the ball and are on base frequently.

The facts are the facts and Oakland just plays better at home. The A's are 20-13 in old building and score 4.9 RPG there, compared to 3.6 away from home. The do most of their damage with the long ball, led by Yonder Alonso and Khris Davis and the Athletics are second in the American Leagues in homers at home.


Betting Odds, Head to Head and Bullpen Numbers

The MLB odds opened with New York as a -140 money line choice with total of 9 and those have been adjusted to -130 and 9.5. The teams have split the past 10 tilts at the Oakland Coliseum, with the OVER 7-3. The Yanks bullpen has been scuffling and has tumbled from first to third in ERA in the junior circuit. The A's, they are the same and still wreak, listed 14th and not close to being really effective.


The Winner Is...

I am not sure how you can look at either starting pitcher and feel good about them. What you can feel good about is the A's are 12-1 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 and New York is 13-3 OVER in road games after the bullpen blew a save. Let's make three for three on OVER's in this series.

Free MLB Play: Over 9.5Best Betting Line: at 5Dimes

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