Bet Yankees Run Line as Kuroda Looks to Shut Down Rangers

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, July 30, 2014 4:30 PM GMT

Last night, our overall record was 4-1 pushing the mark since Saturday to 14-5 with a ton of profit. Our lone loser was by ½ run. Today, we get redemption for that game with the knowledge that we have a 28-5 (85%) winning situation backing us up. This is a solid winner that has a lot going for it. Make it part of your MLB picks for today.

NY Yankees (Kuroda) (-1 ½ R, +115) at Texas Rangers (Lewis) 8:05 ET

10* NY Yankees (-1 ½ R, +115)

The NYY 12-11 victory last night boosted their record to 55-51, keeping them within 4 ½ games of red hot, Baltimore. (18-6 of late) for the division lead.  In accruing that victory, however, the Yankees blew a 6-run lead, including allowing the Rangers to score a pair in the bottom of the 9th.  That result back doored our run line play for the only loss of the evening. 

We come right back with the Bronx Bombers in this spot as they remain motivated by the hunter role in the divisional race.  The Rangers’ problems continue.  Texas is now on negative runs of 12-39, 7-30 and 4-16.  More recently, Texas is just 2-12 on this field.  With the trade deadline looming, do not be surprised if the Yankees add a quality starter that will inspire and energize the team.  Conversely, Texas has no such hope.  

Free Picks on Yankees vs. Rangers Total

In what was slated to be a comeback year for today’s starter, Lewis, has been a resulting disaster.  For the year, Lewis has a 6.23 ERA and 1.79 WHIP.  His work from this mound has been even worse!  In his 7 most recent starts at home, Lewis is 0-4 with a 9.70 ERA.  The current form for Lewis leaves much to be desired.  The Rangers have lost his last 3 starts, in which Lewis has allowed 18 runs on 25 hits with a depressing 8/6 KBB in 13 2/3 IP.  Lewis will have little confidence pitching against the pinstripes.  In 4 outings against NYY, Lewis has worked 22 IP with a 6.14 ERA.  

Kuroda has been consistent, if not excellent.  In his last 3 starts, Kuroda has worked 19 1/3 IP, allowing just 7 runs on only 14 hits with a 12/3 KBB.  Pitching against Texas will inspire confidence for Kuroda.  In 5 starts against the Rangers, Kuroda has worked 34 2/3 IP with a 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.  

We play the “hunter” vs. the “towel tosser” and hope the Yankees’ relief corps does not blow one for us in the late innings.  Run line players will note that 28 of 33 Texas’ home losses have been by 2 or more runs, while 23 of 30 NYY road wins have been by 2 or more runs.  We confidently add the Bronx Bombers to our MLB picks, leaning on the run line tonight in search of redemption for last night’s lone loser.

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