Bet 'Under' 9 Runs for Indians vs. Orioles

Steven Suarez

Friday, May 23, 2014 1:14 PM UTC

Friday, May. 23, 2014 1:14 PM UTC

The Indians are starting to find their stride, having won four straight games, but they'll still enter tonight's game in Baltimore as the MLB betting underdogs. Who will we be recommending with our sports picks?

Odds Overview
The Orioles are roughly -150 favorites at all of the sportsbooks we've looked over. Those wanting to place their MLB picks with Cleveland can find a price of +140 or so, while the 'over'/'under' opened at nine runs, and had stayed there at time of this writing.

 Cleveland Indians (House)
After a rough patch which saw them lose four in a row (including a sweep at home against Oakland) and six of seven, the Indians have responded by winning four straight games.

First, Cleveland was able to pull of a hard-fought sweep of Detroit at home, which included two victories in extra innings. They kicked off this series with Baltimore by winning 8-7 in the 13th inning last night.

Since Justin Masterson had to pitch a day ahead of schedule, a spot in the rotation opened up tonight, meaning young T.J. House will make his first MLB start of his career.

House has only pitched one inning in the big leagues so far, but to get a bigger sample size we ran over his numbers at Triple A. The left-hander was 1-2 with a 2.40 ERA in seven starts and had only allowed one homer in those 41 and 1/3 innings of work.

The rookie would love to get some offensive help from a Cleveland team that ranks seventh in the majors in runs scored. Lonnie Chisenhall, Michael Brantley, Yan Gomes, Michael Bourn and David Murphy have all hit over .300 over the last seven days. 

 Baltimore Orioles (Norris)
The Orioles aren't exactly playing their best baseball right now. 

Not only have they lost four of their last five, but they're a miserable 3-8 over their last 11, which has dropped them to 23-22 and into third place in the AL East behind both Toronto and New York. Baltimore is 9-11 at home and 14-11 on the road.

One source of stability for the Orioles in 2014 has been Bud Norris, who's been good for a 3.58 ERA and 1.13 WHIP despite a 2-4 win-loss record. After allowing five earned runs in his season debut, the right-hander has allowed four or fewer runs in each of his following seven outings.

Camden Yards has been kind to Norris as well. He's only surrendered five earned runs in three starts (20.0 IP) and will hope to carry over that good form into this home date with the Indians, who have been swinging the bat well.

Hitting wise, Baltimore is getting great production out of J.J. Hardy (.385), Chris Davis (.348), Nelson Cruz (.348) and Adam Jones (.321), while it appears Manny Machado is starting to find his groove at the plate again as well.  

 Prediction: House is somewhat of an unknown quantity, but he's looked sharp in Triple A and we don't think the Indians would send him out on the mound if they didn't have full confidence in him to compete at a high level. It's a tough assignment against a power-filled Orioles lineup, but we think House will hold his own.

We also believe Norris will do his part at home. He rarely gets beat up, so we feel the chances are high that the 'under' will cash at the top MLB betting sites tonight.

Free MLB Pick: 'Under' 9


comment here