Bet on Umpire Kerwin Danley Keeping Angels vs. O's Score Low

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, July 30, 2014 12:31 PM GMT

The Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Angels are both capable of scoring runs in bunches, but they’ll be limited by Wednesday night’s home plate umpire at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

A Glimpse from Hamilton
Los Angeles has won six of 11 games since the All-Star break, but it suffered a 7-6 extra-innings loss to Baltimore as -131 road favorites Tuesday, while going over the betting total for the first time in four contests.

Angels outfielder Josh Hamilton hit his first home run since July 2 last night, but the offense has continued to do enough with Mike Trout in the lineup, who entered the series opener leading the league with 59 extra-base hits and 229 total bases.

MLB handicappers may have an interest in backing this star-studded roster in a primetime affair that’s scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN, as it has gone 7-5 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125, with the 'under' going 9-3 in that situation.

 

Getting it Done on the Mound
Baltimore has proven victorious in eight of its last 10 home games, which is important to consider when making your MLB predictions in this matchup, with the pitching staff compiling a 2.70 ERA over that span.

The Orioles could play without the services of first baseman Chris Davis for a second consecutive affair, as he’s been dealing with flu-like symptoms since the club traveled home from its recent West Coast trip.  

All eyes will be on third baseman Manny Machado, who is starting to settle in at the plate—hitting .373 with four home runs and 10 RBIs in his last 15 games.

 

Richards
Angels starting pitcher Garrett Richards (11-6, 2.62 ERA) has his career-best seven game win streak snapped last Thursday, as he allowed four runs and seven hits over six innings of work in a 6-4 home defeat to the Detroit Tigers.

The right-hander is 6-1 with a 1.83 ERA in 11 road games, which is a big reason why the Halos are road favorites in the MLB betting odds, with opponents hitting just .156 against him (.235 at home).

In five career games (one start) versus the Orioles, Richards has tallied a 0-1 record and 9.00 ERA.

 

Gausman
Orioles starting pitcher Kevin Gausman (4-3, 3.67 ERA) has led the club to three wins in his last four trips to the mound, but he didn’t earn a decision in a 2-1 road victory over the Seattle Mariners last time out—giving up one run and seven hits over 6.2 innings.

The right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.33 ERA in five home appearances—issuing 10 walks and striking out 14 batters in 27 combined frames.

Gausman will be facing the Angels for the first time in his young career.

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Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the 'under' is 15-3-1 with umpire Kerwin Danley behind home plate in 2014, with an average of just 5.00 runs being scored in those 19 games.

Danley is allowing pitchers to throw 64.8 percent strikes in his zone, which has led to a paltry 1.28 home runs per game.

Free MLB Pick: Under the betting total