Bet the Total: Yankees vs. Indians Game 4

Jeff Grant

Thursday, July 10, 2014 12:41 PM GMT

The Cleveland Indians and New York Yankees are two teams staggering toward the All-Star Break, which will lead to a low-scoring affair at Progressive Field Thursday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League matchup.

Enjoying time in Cleveland
New York has split its last 10 games, but it comes off a 5-4 victory over Cleveland as +118 road underdogs Wednesday, while going over the betting total for the third time in four contests.

The Yankees have captured four of their last five road series against the Indians, which has played a big part in their 19-9 record at this ballpark since 2007.

MLB handicappers will find that the club has produced a 24-29 mark when taking on teams with a losing record this season.


Relying on the long ball
Cleveland has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, but it’s important to point out that the team is four games above .500 since May 1.

The Indians have put together a fantastic 34-22 record when hitting at least a single home run in a game during the 2014 campaign, while they’ve dropped 24 of 34 contests when failing to accomplish that task.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 29-25 at home with a money line of -100 to -125.


Phelps
Yankees starting pitcher David Phelps (3-4, 4.01 ERA) hasn’t earned a decision in watching the club drop his last three efforts, including a 2-1 setback on the road to the Minnesota Twins last Saturday—surrendering one run and three hits over seven frames.

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 4.75 ERA in 13 road appearances (eight starts), as he’s allowed opponents to hit .257 against him (.230 at home).

In two career starts versus the Indians, Phelps has registered a 1-1 record and 0.71 ERA.


House
Indians starting pitcher T.J. House (1-2, 4.24 ERA) earned his first Major League win last Saturday, as he gave up three runs and nine hits over 6.2 innings of work in a 7-3 home victory over the Kansas City Royals.

The left-hander is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA in three home games (two starts), with opposing hitters batting .288 against him (.315 on the road).

House will be making his first career appearance against the Yankees in this series finale.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the 'under' is 18-7-1 in the last 26 overall meetings in this series.

Free MLB Pick: Under 8.5

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