Bet the Total in Tonight's Matchup Between the Tigers vs. Rays

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, August 21, 2014 11:33 AM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 21, 2014 11:33 AM UTC

Ross Benjamin takes a look at the matinee game today between the Tigers and Rays. Read his convincing MLB handicapping article which is concluded with a free pick on the total in this American League contest.

Tigers/Rays Matinee Affair
The Rays will host the Tigers at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida with the opening pitch scheduled for 1:10 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds, the Tigers are a -128 money line road favorite, and the posted total is 7. These teams have seen all 5 of their meetings this season go over the total.

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Back to the Old Stomping Grounds
The Detroit Tigers starter will be making his first ever appearance at Tropicana Field in a visitor’s uniform. David Price spent his whole career in the Rays organization prior to being moved at the trade deadline last month. The southpaw hurler has been red-hot, going 8-2 in his last 10-starts against the money, with a stellar 2.20 ERA, a 0.93 WHIP, and just shy of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Price has seen 10 of his last 13-starts go under the total. In 26-starts this season his control has been impeccable, walking 1 per 6.7 innings pitched.

"Price" is Right for Thursday's MLB Picks?

Rays Hurler in Great Form
Alex Cobb is having his finest stretch of his young MLB career. Each of his last 5-starts has gone under the total, and he’s been a major contributor to those results by posting an excellent 1.06 ERA. Cobb has 4 career starts versus the Tigers, and has compiled a very respectable 3.04 ERA in those outings.


Both Teams Better on the Road
The Tigers have actually had a better winning percentage on the road (.557) this season than at home (.532) in 2014. The Rays have encountered a similar fate. Tampa Bay has a disappointing 28-35 (.444) mark at home, and has gone 33-29 (.532) on the road. Ultimately the lack of success at home could cost both or at least one of these teams a berth in the postseason.


Both Teams Playing on the Low Side
Entering their game on Wednesday night, the Tigers had seen 10 of their last 13 on the road go under the total. The Rays Alex Cobb is allowing 5.4 hits per start in 2014. The Tigers have gone under the total in 27 of 39 road games (69%) during the last 2 seasons, when facing a pitcher that allows 5.5 or less hits per start. The Rays have seen just 6 of their previous 22-games go over the total.


MLB Totals Betting System
Any American League game with a total of 7.0 or less, that has a road team who’s hitting between .265 to .279 on the year, and their starting pitcher has a WHIP of 1.30 or less, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 4.20 or less, has seen 43 of those 65-games (66.2%) go under the total during the past 18-seasons.

Free MLB Pick: Tigers/Rays to go under the total of 7 at Bookmaker

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