Life on the Road
Detroit enters this series with the best record in baseball at 24-12, which has been helped by winning its last eight road games—the longest such streak of its kind for the franchise since May 2006.
The Tigers were eliminated in last year’s ALCS by the Red Sox in six games, but they did win the regular-season series by winning four of seven meetings.
Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 17-20 as road underdogs of +100 to +125, with the 'over' going 19-18 in that situation.
Ortiz has Caught Fire
Boston owns a disappointing 20-20 overall record, as it returns home after splitting a six-game road trip to Texas and Minnesota, but the clubhouse is optimistic that a turnaround is coming due to the recent play of its designated hitter.
David Ortiz went 8-for-14 during the team’s most recent three-game series in Minneapolis, while he’s a .467 career hitter with three home runs and six RBIs versus tonight’s opposing starter.
MLB handicappers will find that the squad is 3-6 at home with a money line of -100 to -125, with the 'over' cashing in six of those opportunities.
Tigers' starting pitcher Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.04 ERA) has put together a personal five-game win streak, which includes a 9-3 home victory over the Twins last time out, as he allowed three runs and five hits over six frames.
The right-hander has gone 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in three road appearances, with opposing batters hitting .235 against him (.180 at home).
Scherzer has compiled a 2-4 record and 7.02 ERA in regular-season match-ups against the Red Sox, including a 1-2 mark and 3.86 ERA in four efforts at this ballpark.
Red Sox's starting pitcher Jon Lester (4-4, 2.75 ERA) has won his last two trips to the mound, including a 8-3 road victory over the Texas Rangers last time out—surrendering three runs and four hits over seven innings of work.
The left-hander has registered a 1-2 record and 2.25 ERA in three home appearances, while not allowing a home run in 20 combined frames.
In seven lifetime starts versus the Tigers, Lester has gone 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA.
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the 'over' is 7-1-2 in Scherzer’s last 10 starts in the series.
MLB Pick: 'Over' 7.5