Bet Tigers Moneyline at Home vs. Twins for MLB Picks

Jeff Grant

Friday, September 26, 2014 2:09 PM GMT

The Detroit Tigers have taken care of business as a large home favorite with Rick Porcello on the mound in the past, which provides them a major edge over the Minnesota Twins Friday.

Splitsville 
Minnesota has split its last 10 games, as it looks to bounce back from a 4-2 defeat to Detroit as +264 road underdogs Thursday, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.

The Twins have split their first 16 meetings against the Tigers this season, which is important to consider when making your MLB betting picks, especially since the squad is 33-45 overall when playing away from Target Field.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is a disappointing 30-48 in the month of September since the start of the 2012 campaign.

 

A Lot On the Line
Detroit has won three games in a row and has a magic number of two in hopes of clinching the American League Central division, but the club won’t have any nervous energy at Comerica Park, as it already clinched a playoff spot for a fourth straight year.

Tigers designated hitter Victor Martinez is a legitimate AL MVP candidate, which can’t be overlooked when checking out the MLB odds, considering he’s 21 for 40 with three home runs and 11 RBIs in his last 10 games in this series.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 13-10 as home favorites of -200 to -225.

 

Swarzak
Anthony Swarzak (3-2, 4.52 ERA) will be filling in for injured left-hander Tommy Milone for the third straight time in the Twins rotation, as he’s allowed a combined 11 runs (nine earned) and 19 hits in 8.2 combined innings in his first two trips to the mound in that situation.

The right-hander is 2-0 with a 6.52 ERA in 20 road appearances this year, with opposing hitters batting .320 against him (.261 at home).

In 10 career games (two starts) at this ballpark, Swarzak has produced a 1-1 record and 4.91 ERA.

 

Porcello
Tigers starting pitcher Rick Porcello (15-12, 3.31 ERA) will look to snap a personal four-game losing streak, which includes a 5-2 setback on the road to the Kansas City Royals last time out—giving up four runs and nine hits over 3.1 innings of work.

The right-hander has thrown over 200 innings in a season for the first time in his career, which has likely played a part in his 0-3 record and 5.57 ERA in four outings this month.

In three games versus the Twins this season, Porcello is 1-0 with a 4.05 ERA—issuing six walks and striking out 13 batters in 20 combined frames.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Tigers as one of their MLB picks as they’ve captured Porcello’s last five efforts as a favorite of 200 or higher.

MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":287527, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]