Kansas City has compiled a perfect 10-0 record when scoring four or more runs in a game this season, including an 8-2 victory over the Cleveland Indians Tuesday, while going OVER the betting total for the third time in four affairs.
The Royals pitching staff ranks second in the AL with a 3.14 ERA, with its rotation ranking behind just two teams in quality starts.
Over the last two-plus seasons, the club is 22-28 as a road underdog of +100 to +125, with the UNDER going 29-19-2 in that situation.
Cleveland failed to win three games in a row for the first time this season, as it enters this affair with a disappointing 9-11 record. The Indians are 2-3 on their current 7-day, 7-game homestand versus the Toronto Blue Jays and Royals.
The Indians are 24th in the league with a 4.26 ERA, but they’ve surrendered just 12 home runs on the year.
MLB handicappers will find that the team is 3-1 as home favorites of -125 to -150 during the 2014 campaign.
Royals starting pitcher Jason Vargas (2-0, 1.24 ERA) has watched the club alternated wins and losses over his first four efforts, as he comes off a 5-0 home victory over the Minnesota Twins last time out.
The left-hander has yet to record a decision on the road despite tallying a 1.93 ERA, with opposing hitters batting .208 against him.
In five career games versus the Tribe, Vargas is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA, including a 1-0 mark and 1.94 ERA in two appearances at this ballpark.
Indians starting pitcher Justin Masterson (0-0, 4.98 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 3-2 home loss to the Toronto Blue Jays last week, as he allowed two runs and six hits over 6.1 innings of work.
The right-hander has allowed opponents to hit .323 with RISP this season, but that number drops down to .143 with two outs.
Masterson has posted a 5-6 record and 4.87 ERA in 19 career games (14 starts) versus the Royals.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Royals as one of their MLB picks, as the Indians have dropped four of Masterson’s last five outings as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals +120