Bet Royals -1.5 over White Sox for MLB Picks

Steven Suarez

Monday, May 19, 2014 1:12 PM GMT

Monday, May. 19, 2014 1:12 PM GMT

With only five games on the MLB schedule tonight, we've got to be wise when it comes to picking and choosing the right value spots. Our assignment involves two AL Central teams jockeying for position – where should we go with our sports picks?

Odds Overview
Despite the small slate, there's still a few chalk-filled lines on the MLB betting odds board. One of the top favorites is Kansas City, listed at -175 to win this series opener at home.

The O/U seems to be holding steady at 8.5, though we've been getting more action on the UNDER than the OVER so far. 

[gameodds]3/264294/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Chicago White Sox (Carroll)
This has not been the the best of road trips for the White Sox.

They started off losing two of three in Oakland and are coming off another 2-1 series loss, this time against the lowly Astros in Houston. Chicago has gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games to drop to 21-24 overall on the season.

Following a very promising start to his season, Scott Carroll will try to bounce back after two terrible starts in a row.

Carroll was torched for 11 hits and six earned runs at home against the Cubs 11 days and it didn't go any better in his next start against Oakland. Again the right-hander was beat up for 11 hits and six earned runs in a blowout loss. Carroll's ERA has subsequently risen from 0.68 to 5.24.

The Royals have never come up against the 29-year old in what's been his first taste of MLB action. Let's see if he can avoid a third straight meltdown against a surging Kansas City team. 

 

Kansas City Royals (Vargas)
The Royals are playing good baseball at the moment. They just closed out their series with the Orioles by winning the last two games and that puts them at an impressive 8-4 over their last 12 games overall.

The wins are going to have to keep on coming if Kansas City is to keep up with division-leading Detroit, who have won six straight to build up a seven-game lead in the AL Central.

For tonight, the Royals should be feeling confident behind southpaw Jason Vargas, who's 4-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in nine starts this season.

Vargas has bounced back after two rough starts to post consecutive quality starts. He first pitched seven innings of scoreless ball (allowing only three hits and striking out six) in a 6-1 road win over Seattle. Five days later he held Colorado's league-leading offense to five hits and two runs over 6 and 2/3 innings, walking one and whiffing eight in another victory.

Though he hasn't been as dominant this season at home (4.09 ERA), Vargas did shut down the White Sox in his one matchup against them (7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 6 K) and will be confident in his chances to do so again this evening.

 

MLB Pick
We've got to take Kansas City as one of our MLB picks tonight.

The Royals are by far the hotter team right now and have the better pitcher on the mound as well. They've gone a solid 12-9 at home, whereas the White Sox are a poor 10-14 on the road coming in.

With Vargas pitching as well as he has all year, we'll take a chance and back Kansas City on the run-line in hopes we can get more bang for our buck. Expect the Royals to take care of business in the series opener.

MLB Pick: Royals -1.5 (+135)

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