Bet Rockies as thier Prayers Are Answered Against Padres

Mark Reynolds

Tuesday, May 2, 2017 3:06 PM GMT

There are two startling aspects to this NL West contest for those of us who are betting baseball. One, Colorado is in first place in the month of May, despite scoring less runs than they have allowed.

The second part is San Diego is already not firmly buried in the basement of their division. Having lost a series at home already to the Padres, can the Rockies extract revenge and build on their confounding lead?

 

Pitching Matchup - Chatwood vs. Cahill

No hiding the fact this a Tyler Chatwood's (2-3, 4.88 ERA) favorite environment. Not many knew this, Chatwood had a remarkable 1.69 road ERA last season, easily the best in Colorado history and he has not been too bad this season either 2.30. The right-hander like a lot of pitchers is more comfortable away from Coors Field. The 27-year old has a low 90's fastball which has above average movement with a slider to match. He is 4-1 with a 4.12 ERA versus San Diego.

Trevor Cahill (1-2, 4.50) left the comforts of playing with a World Series champion to go play for San Diego? At 29, Cahill thought he still had years left in him to be a starting pitcher and wanted to prove to himself and others he still could at this level. Cahill has always had the talent, yet it has seldom come all together. The reasoning is when Cahill is right, his curve curves and his changeup rolls off the proverbial table. His problem is that walks come in bunches and he has a hard time the third trip through the opposing batting order. Cahill is 5-6 (4.44) against Colorado.

 

Colorado Offense Rounding Into Form, San Diego's is Not

We are starting to see the Rockies offense we expected, which has scored 5.6 RPG in their last seven tries. Journey Mark Reynolds has actually been their most productive player, leading Colorado in batting average, home runs and is second in RBI's. Remember SS Trevor Story's hot start last year? He's stilling hitting home runs (6), but is batting unsightly .178 and has 39 strikeouts already.

San Diego's offense was not supposed to be very good and it's not, averaging 3.8 RPG and they are hitting .224 collectively. What has saved them is Wil Myers hitting over .300 with seven homers, otherwise, this would really be ugly.

 

Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers

Most sportsbooks MLB odds had Colorado at -115, however, that has fallen to under -110 with total at Under 7.5 (-130). The Padres have beaten up the Rocks pretty good at Petco Park with 13-6, with the UNDER 10-9. Both teams have ERA's in the four, yet have strong home/road dichotomy's with the Friars at 5.65 at home and Colorado 2.28 on the road.

 

The Winner Is...

While I could certainly make a chase for San Diego, for MLB picks I uncovered the Rockies are 6-0 after scoring two or fewer runs and Chatwood and his teammates 9-2 on the road if they are coming off a loss.

Free MLB Play: Colorado -106Best Betting Line: at Pinnacle

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