Bet the Road Dog Padres Over Giants for MLB Picks

Willie Bee

Friday, September 26, 2014 3:09 PM GMT

The five NL playoff teams have been decided, but there's still something to play for when the Giants continue their MLB odds series Friday with the San Diego Padres.

Los Angeles, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, San Francisco and Washington will be in the National League playoffs, that much is for sure.  But just where all the games will take place and who meets who to begin things, that's still up in the air.

The issue could clear up a little -- or it could get muddier -- Friday night when the San Francisco Giants host the San Diego Padres for the second of a 4-game set.  First pitch at AT&T Park is set for 10:15 PM (ET), San Francisco's Ryan Vogelsong having the honors with Ian Kennedy his counterpart for San Diego.

The Giants are the clear favorite to notch their 87th win of the campaign, SBR's live MLB odds showing them in the -150 to -160 range on the moneyline.  A 6 run total that is taxed heavier on the 'over' is also available for your wagering pleasure.

 

Giants Clinch Final NL Playoff Slot, Top Pads In Game 1
The San Francisco Giants got to celebrate twice Thursday, first when Milwaukee's matinee loss in Cincinnati officially clinched a playoff spot for the Giants and then again later in the evening after their 9-8 victory over the Padres in the opener of this series.  Bruce Bochy watched his club build an early 6-0 lead before falling behind 8-6 and rallying with a 3-run seventh for the triumph.

The win left San Diego with a 9-7 edge in the season series, but the Giants are 11-5 in the last 16 clashes in San Francisco where totals are 3-4 O/U this year.

San Francisco begins the final weekend of the season a game behind Pittsburgh in the NL Wild Card race, with the Pirates a game back of St. Louis in the NL Central.  The Giants basically need both clubs to be swept this weekend -- Pittsburgh home vs. the Reds and the Cardinals in Arizona -- to have a realistic shot of hosting Wednesday's wild card contest.

 

Quick Rematch For Kennedy & Vogelsong
Kennedy has the opportunity to finish off 2014 with a level 13-13 personal record if he can secure the dubya on Friday.  The Padres are 16-16 behind their righthander after winning four of his previous six assignments, baseball bettors off 2.5 units as a result of those 32 matchups.

The former Southern Cal star picked up his 12th win of the campaign last Sunday against these Giants, working into the seventh and allowing two runs before turning it over to his relief corps.  Kennedy's only other appearance vs. the G-men came in San Francisco back in late-June, and he allowed all four Giant runs in a 4-0 loss that was highlighted by Tim Lincecum's no-hitter against San Diego.  Including his days pitching for Arizona, Kennedy is 3-3 in 10 starts at AT&T Park with a 2.87 ERA.

After a strong August when he had a 2.58 ERA in six assignments, September has not been so kind to Vogelsong.  He contributed one quality start vs. Arizona in a Giants win a couple of weeks ago, but the other three have all gone into Vogelsong's loss column and he has pitched to a 5.64 ERA overall in the four outings.  He was on the losing end of Kennedy's victory last Sunday in that series finale, the first time Vogelsong faced the Padres this season.

 

Umpire Notes, Final Thoughts & A Free Pick
Eric Cooper is up next for plate duty in the umpire rotation, his first dish assignment at AT&T Park since early on the 2013 schedule.  The chunky 19-year veteran brings fairly level records for 2014 into this one, 14-12-3 (O/U/P) on the totals and home teams 14-15.  Cooper has been a cash cow for home chalk, however, those situations running 12-5.

There isn't anything in the forecast for baseball bettors to be worried about.  A bit breezy, perhaps, with a 14-16 mph WNW wind (out to right-center) for the start of tonight's tilt, but otherwise perfect with temps in the low-to-mid 60s throughout the game and clear skies.

How much of a hangover the Giants are suffering today is the biggest question.  They still have something to play for, but need a lot of help from the Reds and Diamondbacks to make any of these next three games count.  I'm riding off in the sunset with a play on the underdogs for my final free MLB pick of 2014. 

Free MLB pick: Padres Moneyline at 5Dimes

Season: 123-118 (+3.90)

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