Bet Red Sox vs. Twins to Go 'Over'

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, May 14, 2014 5:22 PM GMT

Wednesday, May. 14, 2014 5:22 PM GMT

Who would’ve thought that the defending world champion Boston Red Sox (19-19) and Minnesota Twins (18-19) would be separated by just ½ game as we’re midway through the month of May? A win tonight would put the underdog Twins ahead of Boston; are they up for the task?

First pitch is set for 8:10 pm tonight at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. This game can be seen on MLB TV. According to 5 Dimes Sportsbook, the Red Sox are a -126 betting favorite on the road and the total for the game is 8.5 runs.


A High Scoring Game?
We could see an over here as the starting pitching matchup leaves a lot to be desired. Kevin Correia (1-4, 6.34) gets the start for the Twins and he’ll be opposed by Felix Doubront (1-3, 5.09) for the Bosox.

Both of these pitchers have been atrocious as Correia is coming off of an outing in which he allowed 4 runs, 8 hits, and 4 walks in just 4 innings in a loss to Cleveland. Doubront is coming off of a respectable start against Cincinnati, but he only lasted 5 1/3 innings and this isn’t a pitcher that will give the Red Sox bullpen any rest.

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Fountain Of Youth?
I don’t know if it’s PED’s or just seeing the ball well, but Big Papi has been tearing the cover off of the baseball as of late. Ortiz has a 6 game hitting streak and is 10 for 20 with 3 HR and 6 RBI in the last week alone.

It would suit Correia well to pitch around Ortiz as the rest of the Red Sox lineup isn’t as imposing as they’ve been in the past.

As a team, Boston ranks 16th in the majors in runs and are hitting just .246 on the season. The loss of Jarrod Saltalamacchia has really hurt on the defensive end where the chemistry of the pitchers are concerned, and except for Mike Napoli, nobody is sporting a beard anymore; this team seems complacent with last year’s World Series title.


Average…
When you look at the Minnesota Twins baseball squad, you see an average baseball team. That said, this has been a team that’s been ineffective in past years and average play is acceptable at this point.

Kurt Suzuki has really stepped up as he leads the Twins with a .314 BA (.390 OBP%) and has a very respectable 25 runs batted in on the season. Suzuki is coming off of a strong 3 for 5 game yesterday and could be a factor today. 

The Twins have a lot of depth in the form of Chris Colabello (4 HR, 30 RBI), Josmil Pinto (5 HR), and Brian Dozier (9 HR, 19 RBI), but none of their big boppers hit for average. Dozier is on a modest 4 game hitting streak with 1 HR and 5 RBI’s in that period of time and has been known to come up with clutch hits.

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Joe Mauer
At one point, Joe Mauer could be considered one of the best defensive catchers in baseball and one of the top hitters overall, but playing the catcher position, took its toll on Mauer and he was forced to play first base.

Although power isn’t Mauer’s strength, he still strikes fear into the opposing pitcher’s eyes as this is a player that’s considered a game-changer. In the month of May, Mauer is hitting .393 with 1 HR and 6 RBI. There shouldn’t be a run shortage in this game, but the Twins could use a big game from one of the best players in their history in Joe Mauer.


Outcome
The starting pitching is a disaster in this game and there are plenty of respected hitters to push the total over 8.5. Expect a high scoring game between these two average teams.

Pick - Minnesota/Boston Over 8.5 at 5 Dimes

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