Bet Red Sox Run Line (-140) vs. Cardinals

Jeff Grant

Thursday, August 7, 2014 1:32 PM GMT

Thursday, Aug. 7, 2014 1:32 PM GMT

The St. Louis Cardinals are worthy MLB odds favorites with their ace on the mound Thursday night, but that doesn’t mean it’ll result in a blowout victory over the Boston Red Sox.


 

Close Encounters
Boston has produced a 22-22 record in playing an American League-high 43, one-run games, which includes a 2-1 victory over St. Louis as +125 road underdogs at Busch Stadium Wednesday.

The Red Sox haven’t won back-to-back games since winning five in a row from July 13-21, which is important to consider when making your MLB predictions, especially since they’ve scored the fewest runs in the Junior Circuit.  

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 5-22 as underdogs of +150 to +200 when playing away from Fenway Park.

 

Be Careful
St. Louis is going to be one of the more popular MLB picks of the day, but it’s important to point out that the club has scored an NL-worst 55 runs since July 13, while it went 1-for-10 with runners in scoring position in last night’s setback.

The Cardinals may also be without the services of closer Trevor Rosenthal, who leads the Majors with 35 saves, but he’s been called upon in four consecutive affairs.

Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the club is 21-11 as home favorites of -175 to -200, with the UNDER going 20-11-1 in that situation.

 

Workman
Red Sox starting pitcher Brandon Workman (1-4, 4.08 ERA) has suffered a loss in his last four trips to the mound, including a 6-1 setback at home to the Toronto Blue Jays last Wednesday, as he allowed five runs (two earned) and four hits over five frames.

The right-hander is 1-1 with a 3.70 ERA in five road games (four starts), with opposing hitters batting .205 against him.

Workman will be making his first career regular season appearance against the Red Birds, but he didn’t allow an earned run in 3.1 innings of relief in the 2013 World Series.

 

Wainwright
Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (13-6, 2.26 ERA) has alternated wins and losses over his last four trips to the mound, as he attempts to bounce back from a 7-4 home defeat to the Milwaukee Brewers—surrendering seven runs and nine hits over 5.1 innings of work.

The right-hander is 4-3 with a 3.79 ERA in nine home appearances, with opposing hitters batting .240 against him (.194 on the road).

Wainwright has compiled a 10-6 record and 2.81 ERA in 27 career interleague outings, but he went 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in making two starts versus the Red Sox in last year’s Fall Classic.

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Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox on the run line as one of their MLB picks, as the Cardinals have dropped eight of 13 games versus teams with a losing record in the second half of the season.

Free MLB Pick:  Boston Red Sox +1.5 Run Line at 5Dimes

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