Bet Red Sox Over Blue Jays in Game 3

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, July 23, 2014 12:40 PM GMT

Clay Buchholz has done some of his best work over the course of his career at the Rogers Centre, which provides the Boston Red Sox a major edge over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.


 

Big Papi Gets His Groove Back
Boston has a great opportunity to win its sixth game in its last seven contests, as designated hitter David Ortiz is 4 for 10 with three home runs in this series—giving him 36 career roundtrippers at this ballpark.

The Red Sox will also lean heavily on the play of switch-hitting outfielder Daniel Nava, who is batting .410 this month, which has helped the team produce a winning 9-8 record in July.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 41-29 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125, with the UNDER going 35-33-2 in that situation.

Take a Look at the American League's Starting Pitchers with Top Betting Value!

Trying to Regain Traction
Toronto has captured three of five games since the 2014 All-Star break, including a 7-3 victory over Boston as +106 home underdogs Tuesday, but it has still produced the second-worst record in baseball at 14-25 in its last 39 affairs.

The Blue Jays are always dangerous when leadoff hitter Jose Reyes gets things going offensively, which can’t be ignored when looking over the MLB betting lines, as he’s 5 for 14 in his career against tonight’s opposing starter.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 6-8 at home with a betting total of 8 to 8.5, with the OVER cashing 10 times in those opportunities.

 

Buchholz
Red Sox starting pitcher Clay Buchholz (5-5, 5.46 ERA) has won back-to-back trips to the mound, including a 5-4 home victory over the Kansas City Royals last time out, as he gave up four runs and 10 hits over six frames.

The right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.81 ERA in eight road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .276 against him (.325 at home).

In 20 career games (19 starts) versus the Blue Jays, Buchholz has tallied a 10-6 record and 2.71 ERA, including an 8-2 mark and 1.72 ERA in 11 appearances at this ballpark.

 

Dickey
Blue Jays starting pitcher R.A. Dickey (7-10, 3.95 ERA) has dropped six of his last seven efforts, including a 5-1 home defeat to the Texas Rangers last time out, as he surrendered five runs and six hits over seven frames.

The right-hander is 5-3 with a 4.11 ERA in 11 home games—serving up 13 home runs in 70 combined innings.

In 12 lifetime appearances (six starts) versus the Red Sox, Dickey has compiled a 3-3 record and 4.85 ERA, including a 7-1 victory at this venue on April 27.

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Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox as one of their MLB predictions, as they’ve proven victorious in Buchholz’ last nine road starts in this American League East rivalry.

MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox