Bet Phillies vs. Yankees Over 9 with O'Sullivan & Sabathia Pitching

David Lawrence

Tuesday, June 23, 2015 12:00 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jun. 23, 2015 12:00 PM GMT

Phillies and Yankees meet for Game 2 of this series, and after New York got blown by Philadelphia last night; where should we place our MLB pick tonight? Read this preview to find the answer and much more!

MLB handicappers know that the Philadelphia Phillies have to do a lot of work to dig out of last place in the National League East. The Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers have the two worst records in baseball by far, so any small gains the Phillies make are coming against a lot of bad baseball over the previous two and a half months. They face a huge uphill climb. The New York Yankees are 38-32, just behind the Tampa Bay Rays and just ahead of both the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles in what is a very tightly bunched American League East.

 

Momentum
The Philadelphia Phillies won the first game of this midweek series against the New York Yankees. New York has watched its pitching staff get blown out of the water in consecutive days, giving up 12 runs to the Detroit Tigers on Sunday before giving up 11 runs to the Phillies on Monday. Philadelphia has traveled in one direction over the past four days, New York the exact opposite. The Phillies lost on Friday and Saturday to St. Louis but then salvaged the third and final game of the series on Sunday before winning Monday against the Yankees. The Yankees won on Friday and Saturday against the Detroit Tigers but then lost the third and final game of the series on Sunday before stumbling against Philadelphia on Monday. In terms of current momentum, you'd lean toward the Phillies, but if you're referring to the last 10 games, it's New York. The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10, while the Yankees are 5-5. This is a question of whether you want to make the "in the moment" pick or the "long-term balancing-out" kind of pick.

 

Pitching Matchup
The Phillies will go with Sean O'Sullivan here. O'Sullivan has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. He was decent in his last start on June 18, going a modest five innings but allowing only one run in a win over the Baltimore Orioles. The Phillies are 3-1 in his last four starts but 4-6 in his last 10 starts, which mirrors the team's form of late -- tolerable in short time frames, but awful over larger periods of time. O'Sullivan, before his recent strong start against Baltimore, went through a period of four starts in which he gave up at least four runs three times. His team went 2-2 in those four starts, which shows that O'Sullivan has been getting run support of late.

The Yankees will give the ball to C.C. Sabathia. His ERA is 5.31 and his WHIP is 1.40. In his most recent start on June 18 against the Miami Marlins, Sabathia, gave up three runs on five hits and no walks in six innings. The WHIP for that game was only 0.83 because of the absence of walks, but it's still clear that dominant form is still eluding the former Cy Young Award winner. The last time Sabathia got at least one out in the seventh inning of a game is May 16 and at home this season, he has an ERA of 7.92. He is just not the same pitcher he used to be, which makes it surprising that the Yankees are doing as well as they are this season.

 

What’s The Pick?
Everything about these two pitchers screams for the over. Monday's game between the two teams was 11-8, and while that score probably won't be replicated here, 7-6 or 8-5 certainly feels like a very realistic score in this one. Go over with your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Over at 5Dimes

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