Bet Phillies vs. Mets to go 'Over' 7.5

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 9, 2014 1:46 PM UTC

Friday, May. 9, 2014 1:46 PM UTC

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets have played some high-scoring affairs in recent years, and Friday night’s series opener in the Big Apple will be no different.

Swept away
Philadelphia was outscored by a 31-11 combined margin in getting swept by the Toronto Blue Jays in its most recent four-game series, with the OVER cashing in three of those affairs. 

The Phillies have also dropped their last five meetings against the Mets, as they look to improve upon their even 9-9 record away from Citizens Bank Park during the 2014 campaign.

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 3-3 as road underdogs of +100 to +125 this year, with the UNDER going 3-1-2 in that situation.

Shut down
New York returns home after going 2-6 on a road trip against the Phillies, Colorado Rockies and Miami Marlins, with the offense not scoring in its last 23 innings of action. 

Mets third baseman David Wright is 10 for 26 in his last six games, but he’s failed to hit a home run since Opening Day.  It’s important to point out that he’s batting .373 with five home runs and 12 RBIs over his last 12 games in this rivalry.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the club is 15-23 when playing after an off day.

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Phillies starting pitcher Roberto Hernandez (2-1, 4.50 ERA) is coming off a 1-0 home win over the Washington Nationals in his last effort—scattering four hits and striking out three batters in 7.1 shutout frames.

The right-hander is 1-1 with a 7.04 ERA in three road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .302 against him—compared to just .211 when throwing at home.

Hernandez hasn’t won back-to-back starts since April 28 and May 3, 2011—during his time with the Cleveland Indians.

Mets starting pitcher Jenrry Mejia (3-0, 5.23 ERA) has watched the club drop his last two no-decision efforts, including a 11-10 road defeat to the Colorado Rockies last time out.

The right-hander has compiled a perfect 2-0 record and 3.44 ERA in three home outings—issuing nine walks and striking out 21 batters in 18.1 combined frames.

Mejia has gone 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA in four games (one start) versus the Phillies.

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the OVER is 19-8-1 in the last 28 meetings in this rivalry when played in the Big Apple.

Pick: Over 7.5

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