Bet Phillies +151 vs. Giants in Series Finale

Joe Catalano

Sunday, August 17, 2014 2:26 PM GMT

The San Francisco Giants (64-58) got a gift yesterday as Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers lost to the Brewers. The Giants picked up a game on the division leading Dodgers and now it’s time to cash in as they face an inferior Phillies (54-69) squad with Tim Lincecum getting the start.

First pitch is set for 4:05 pm ET on Sunday at AT&T Park in San Francisco, California. This game can be seen on MLB TV.

 

The Odds
5Dimes Sportsbook has listed the Giants as a -168 betting favorite with a total of 7.5. That total appears to be a tad low as Lincecum has been very inconsistent and merely average ever since his 2 CY Young Awards and he’s facing an average pitcher in David Buchanan (6-6, 4.40)

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Chase Utley and Ryan Howard
When all is said and done, it’s unlikely that either of these players will make the Baseball Hall Of Fame, but they will be remembered as very good players that played a long time along side eachother on the same team like Lou Whittaker and Alan Trammell of the Detroit Tigers in the 70’s and 80’s. Currently, Howard still has the power as his 18 HR and 77 RBI’s indicates, but he can’t hit for average at all.

In Chase Utley’s case, he’s had a very respectable season at 11 HR, 65 RBI, and .289 BA. Utley still has a lot left in the tank as he’s hitting .308 in the month of August with 2 HR and 9 RBI.

As for Howard, he’s hitting just .214 in August, but both of these players have hit the Giants well over their career and that’s something to keep an eye on because Lincecum is capable of “spitting the bit” and putting up a poor outing.

A lot of Phillies players seem to hit San Francisco well and one of those players is leadoff man, Ben Revere. Revere has no power whatsoever as he has 13 RBI’s in just 437 at-bats this season. That said, Revere leads the Phils in hitting at .311 and has 34 SB. His job is to get on base and to have the meat of the Phillies order in Utley, Howard, and Byrd drive him home. Even though the Phillies are a losing ball club, the combination of Revere and the Phillies big boppers have worked well collectively.

Sunday's Daily MLB Pitching Report for August 17th!

Hitting The Skids
I’ve talked about Tim Lincecum several times. This is a pitcher that appeared to be headed for the Hall of Fame after 2 consecutive CY Young Awards so early in his career, but his career has taken a detour. Lincecum is a mere average pitcher currently and lately he’s been a disaster.

In his last 4 starts (17 innings), Lincecum has allowed 20 runs and has seen his ERA rise almost 1 point in less than a month. Although he’s surrounded by some respectable hitters in Buster Posey ( 13 HR, 58 RBI, .280), Hunter Pence (16 HR, 53 RBI, .284), and Pablo Sandoval (14 HR, 55 RBI, .283), if he can’t get anyone out it doesn’t matter.

 

Outcome
I like the Phillies in this spot as the moderate underdog. Lincecum is very inconsistent and has been awful as of late while the Phillies hitters seem to hit the Giants well as a collective group.

MLB Pick: Philadelphia +151 at 5Dimes