Bet Phillies -105 vs. Diamondbacks for MLB Picks

Steven Suarez

Sunday, April 27, 2014 3:59 PM GMT

Sunday, Apr. 27, 2014 3:59 PM GMT

With the series all square at 1-1, the Diamondbacks and Phillies battle it out this afternoon in the deciding game. We have looked over what kind of MLB odds are on offer and have figured out where to go with our sports picks.

Odds Overview
It's dead even in terms of the MLB betting lines, as Arizona and Philadelphia are both listed at -105 to win.

The total opened at 9.5 runs but has been bet down to nine at most sportsbooks. Follow along with the live line movement leading up to the first pitch over at SBRodds.com. 

[gameodds]3/262853/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Philadelphia Phillies (A.J. Burnett)
The Phillies stormed from behind yesterday, scoring a combined six runs in the seventh and eighth innings to win 6-5, tying the series up in the process.

It was Philadelphia's fifth win in seven games and pulled the club to .500 for the first time since the first week of the season.

A.J. Burnett will makes his sixth start of the season this afternoon. He's 0-1 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.45 WHIP thus far.

Over his last two appearances, Burnett has looked excellent, allowing a total of nine hits and two earned runs over 13 and 2/3 innings, despite not getting a winning decision against either the Braves or Dodgers. So far on the road (three starts) he's surrendered seven earned runs in 18 and 1/3 innings.

On the hitting side of things for the Phillies, Chase Utley has cooled off but is still hitting .353 with three homers and 13 RBI on the season. More recently, Carlos Ruiz (.500 over last seven days), Ben Revere (.414), Marlon Byrd (.333), Domonic Brown (.321) and Ryan Howard (.300) have all been swinging the bat well.

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Arizona Diamondbacks (Brandon McCarthy)
What a dreadful start indeed it's been for the Diamondbacks, who now sit at 8-19 on the season after yesterday's stomach-turning collapse.

Things were starting to look up for Arizona, as they had won three straight and looked destined to make it four. However, the bullpen blew the game, with Trevor Cahill giving up up four hits and three runs (with two walks as well) in his one inning of work.

As you can see, Arizona is in desperate need of a pick-me-up and hope to get it from Brandon McCarthy, who's 0-4 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Certainly not the best of starts from the right-hander.

The last time he was on the mound, McCarthy gave up seven hits and five runs (only one earned) over five innings in a 9-2 loss to the Cubs. Arizona has lost in each of his five outings so far.

In terms of hitting, Paul Goldschmidt (.318) is the only regular hitting over .300 for the season, but Aaron Hill and Miguel Montero have been pretty good lately, hitting .333 and .316 respectively over the last week.

 

MLB Pick
Starting pitching has been the death of the Diamondbacks so far, as they're currently ranked dead last in the MLB in team earned run average (5.29).

McCarthy's ineffectiveness has played a large role in those struggles and that's the main reason we're staying away from Arizona here. The pitching matchup looks to be squarely in Philadelphia's favor, with Burnett throwing the ball very well at the moment. It's not like the Diamondbacks have been tearing the cover off the ball either.

All in all, this is the last game of a long road stretch for the Phillies and we expect them to close out strong for our MLB picks. We'll be backing Philadelphia at these short MLB betting odds this afternoon.

MLB Pick: Phillies -105

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