Bet 'Over' Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Run Total for Tuesday's Pick

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, April 28, 2015 11:58 AM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 28, 2015 11:58 AM UTC

This insightful MLB betting preview article covers the pertinent handicapping aspects that will provide you with the ultimate wagering edge for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox on Tuesday.

AL East Rivals clash at Fenway Park on Tuesday
The Boston Red Sox will host the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday at 6:10 PM ET. According to the MLB betting odds at Wagerweb, Boston is a -120 money line favorite, and the posted total is 8.5. This will be the second of a three game series between these AL East rivals, and the Red Sox won the opener 6-5 on Monday. Despite their loss yesterday, Toronto is 7-3 in their last ten games at Fenway Park in Boston.


Starting Pitchers
The Toronto Blue Jays will go with right-hander Drew Hutchinson on the mound today. Hutchinson has been shaky in his last three starts, posting a sizable 6.88 ERA, and all three of those outings went over the total. Hutchinson saw all three of his starts in 2014 versus the Red Sox go over the total, posting a lofty 6.28 ERA, and a large 2.02 WHIP. Dating back to 2014, the Toronto hurler is 8-2 over the total in his previous ten starts on the road.

The MLB odds favorite tonight, the Boston Red Sox, will counter with a right-hander of their own on Tuesday when they send Clay Buchholz to the hill. After a stellar opening day start versus the Phillies, Buchholz has displayed poor form in his last three starts. During those outings he’s posted a terrible 7.05 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Buchholz made six starts versus Toronto in 2014 and posted a lofty 5.55 ERA. His three starts at Fenway Park versus Toronto last season were even less impressive, evidenced by the Red Sox hurler posting a 7.31 ERA during those outings.


Blue Jays Report
Toronto enters today on a four game losing streak. Their bullpen was a concern entering the 2015 season, and they certainly have held true to form with a 4.45 ERA as a staff. Toronto has displayed why they’ll be one of the most feared batting orders in the American League this year. The Jays have already hit 26 home runs in their first twenty games. At that current rate, they’ll hit a whopping 211 home runs for the season.


Red Sox Report
Boston has seen each of their previous four games go over the total, and there were a combined average of 14.3 runs per contest scored. As a matter of fact, Boston is 14-6 over the total in 2015, and that includes 11-2 over versus opponents with a losing record. Similar to the Blue Jays, Boston has a powerful batting order, and they’ve hit 20 home runs in their first twenty games.


Final Analysis
This game today has all the ear marks of a high scoring game. Both starting pitchers have struggled in recent outings, and each team possesses plenty of power. I like this one to play on the high side of the total for one of my MLB picks on Tuesday.

MLB Picks: Play on Toronto and Boston to go over 8.5 (+104 at Pinnacle)

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