Bet Over 9 in Rays vs. Red Sox for MLB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, May 31, 2014 2:03 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 31, 2014 2:03 PM UTC

Our SBR guru Ross Benjamin analyzes tonight's AL East showdown between the Rays and Red Sox. Read what he has to say and also receive his MLB free pick in this game.

Two Teams off to Disappointing Starts
The Red Sox will host the Rays on Saturday at Fenway Park in Boston with the first pitch slated for 7:15 PM ET. According to MLB odds, the Red Sox are a -115 money line favorite and the posted total is 9.0. These teams have seen 17 of their last 22 meetings at Fenway Park go 'under' the total. The Rays have won 5 of the 7-games played between these clubs in 2014.

Starting Pitchers
The Rays will send Jake Odorizzi to the hill tonight. Odorizzi is 3-7 in his team starts this season with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. The Tampa Bay right-hander has displayed good form over his last 3 starts posting a stellar 2.16 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Although Odorizzi has struggled on the road going 1-4 in his team starts with a 6.29 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. 

The Red Sox will go with 24-year old Rubby DeLaRosa who will be making his first career start with the Red Sox. The right-hander is a recent call up from AAA Pawtucket where he went 2-3 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 10 starts. DeLaRosa was part of the blockbuster deal in October of 2012 that saw the Red Sox send Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, Adrian Gonzalez, and Nick Punto to the Dodgers. DeLaRosa started 10-games for the Dodgers in 2011 and went 4-5 with a 3.71 ERA. He also appeared in 11-games with the Red Sox in 2013. All of those appearances came in relief and he posted a lofty 5.61 ERA.

Getting Back on Track
After going through a nightmarish 10-game losing streak, the Red Sox have bounced back to win their last 5 in a row entering today. Their record now stands at 25-29 on the year, including just 13-17 at Fenway Park, and are 4th in the AL East 6.0 games behind the 1st place Toronto Blue Jays. 

Rays are Reeling
The Tampa Bay Rays have now dropped their last 4 in a row after last night's 3-2 loss at the hands of the Red Sox. They've also now lost 6 road games in a row. The Rays are 23-32 on the season and are last in the AL East 8.5 games behind the division leading Toronto Blue Jays.

MLB Betting System
Any road team with a total of 9.0 or 9.5 that's coming off 2 straight losses to a division opponent, and has a starting pitcher with a ERA of 2.50 or less in his last 3 starts, has seen MLB picks in 69 of those 103-games (67%) go 'over' the total during the last 17 seasons.

MLB Free Pick: Rays/Red Sox to go 'over' the total of 9.0

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