Bet Over 7.5 in Tuesday's Marlins vs. Braves

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, July 22, 2014 2:01 PM GMT

Giancarlo Stanton has been known to show off his power when facing Mike Minor, which will be one of the key factors for a high-scoring affair between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves.

Trying to put something together
Miami hasn’t put together a win streak of three or more games since June 2-5, as it comes off a 3-1 victory over Atlanta as +165 road underdogs Monday, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive affair.

MLB handicappers need to keep a watchful eye on the total when looking over the MLB betting odds, considering Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is 5-for-19 with four home runs in his career against Tuesday night’s opposing starter.

It’s also important to point out that the club is 14-13 in its last 27 road games—a favorable mark after dropping 15 of its first 18 affairs away from South Beach.

 

Fallen into a pattern
Atlanta has alternated wins and losses in its four games since the All-Star break, but the franchise may be primed for a turnaround, as star catcher Evan Gattis returned from the 15-day disabled list and went 1-for-3 at the plate last night.

The Braves have split their 10 meetings with the Marlins this season, but they’ve compiled a dominating 93-55 record in the series when playing at this ballpark.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 23-11 as home favorites of -175 to -200, with the UNDER going 19-15-1 in that situation.

 

Turner
Marlins starting pitcher Jacob Turner (2-6, 6.22 ERA) returns to the rotation for the first time in six weeks, as he went 2-4 with a 6.38 ERA in nine starts before being demoted to the bullpen in mid-June.

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in eight road games (five starts), with opposing hitters batting .286 against him (.366 at home).

In five lifetime starts versus the Braves, Turner has registered a 1-3 record and 4.40 ERA, including an 0-2 mark and 4.32 ERA in three efforts at this venue.

 

Minor
Braves starting pitcher Mike Minor (3-5, 4.86 ERA) has watched the team alternate wins and losses over his last five trips to the mound, as he comes off a 11-6 road victory over the Chicago Cubs—surrendering six runs and 11 hits over six innings of work.

The left-hander is 1-4 with a 4.76 ERA in seven home appearances, as he served up 10 home runs in just 39.2 combined frames.

Minor has produced a 1-2 record and 4.73 ERA in his last five efforts against the Marlins.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers take a look at the total as one of their MLB betting picks at Turner Field, as the OVER is 10-4 in Minor’s last 14 home starts.
MLB Pick:  Over

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