Bet Oakland A's Run Line on Tonight's MLB Game vs. Twins

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, August 7, 2014 12:08 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 7, 2014 12:08 PM UTC

We’ll examine tonight’s American League affair between Oakland and Minnesota in our quest to uncover for MLB wagering value. Read our informational sports betting article on this contest that’s concluded with a MLB free pick.

A Lopsided Series Continues
The A’s will host the Twins tonight with the first pitch slated for 10:05 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the A’s are a huge -250 money line home favorite and the posted total is 7.0.  Oakland is also -1.5 (-125), and Minnesota is +1.5 (+105) on the run-line. This will be the opener of a 4-game series between these clubs. Oakland has gone 16-5 in their last 21 versus the Twins including 6-0 in the past 6 at home. These clubs have seen 8 of their last 9-meetings go over the total.


Starting Pitchers
The Twins will send 30-year old rookie Yohan Pino to the mound tonight. Pino started the season at the Twins AAA affiliate in Rochester where he went 9-2 with a 2.45 ERA. The native of Turmero, Venzuela began his professional career in 2005, and finally received the call to the big leagues after more than 9-years of minor league baseball. He’s gone 5-3 against the money (+2.48 units) for the Twins with a 4.57 ERA. He’s been shaky in his 3-road starts since promoted posting a very lofty 6.28 ERA and 1.81 WHIP.

Newly acquired Jon Lester will make his 2nd start for his new club. He was average at best in his debut with Oakland last Saturday during a 6-3 win over Kansas City. He went 6 2/3 innings in that outing while allowing 3 earned runs on 9-hits. As a member of the Red Sox he went 13-8 against the money with a stellar 2.52 ERA, and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Counting his start for the A’s, Lester has gone 8-1 in his last 9 against the money, with an excellent 1.38 ERA, and an almost 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio.


On the Road Again
The Twins just completed a short 3-game home stand against the San Diego Padres on Wednesday afternoon. Sandwiched between was a 6-game road trip that preceded the Padres series, and then this 7-game in 7-day road swing which begins tonight. The Twins had their 4-game win streak snapped on Wednesday afternoon in a 5-4 loss at the hands of San Diego. Offense hasn’t been a problem for Minnesota this season as their 9th in all of baseball averaging 4.2 runs per game. Unfortunately their pitching hasn’t held up their end of the bargain as they’re 26th in baseball with a staff ERA of 4.33.


Money Ball Lives
The Oakland general manager Billy Beane became a national celebrity after the release of the movie “Money Ball”, depicting his time as GM of the A’s. He made some shrewd trades during the course of this season which solidified his starting rotation, and one of those came at the expense of moving a budding superstar in Yoenis Cespedes. At the time of the trade to Boston, the Cuban refugee was hitting .256 with 17-homers and 67 runs batted in. However, Beane has brought in Jeff Samardzija (Cubs), Jason Hammel (Cubs) along with Jon Lester (Red Sox) to join stalwarts Sonny Gray, and Scott Kazmir. They arguably now have one of the top three starting rotations in all of baseball. Tonight will be the 7th of a 10-game home stand for the A’s which has seen them go 3-3 thus far. The A’s possess the best record in baseball at 69-44 (.611), and are an outstanding 37-20 (.649) at home, yet are in a fierce battle for the AL West crown with the Angels right on their heels.


Final Analysis
Yohan Pino epitomizes a never say day attitude that’s a real rarity these days in professional sports. As nice of a story as it is, he’ll be overmatched on the road against what’s right now the best team in all of baseball. Jon Lester actually looked human in his A’s debut. Now that he has his feet wet, I look for a dominating performance tonight from the veteran southpaw.
Free MLB Pick: Oakland -1.5 (-125) over Minnesota.

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