Bet Nationals & Marlins 'Over' in MLB picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, May 28, 2014 12:56 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 28, 2014 12:56 PM UTC

Giancarlo Stanton has been terrorizing pitching staffs the entire season, which will lead the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals to go above the betting total Wednesday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this NL East matchup.

Falling into a Pattern
Miami has alternated wins and losses over its last five contests, but it remains just 1.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves in the division standings.

Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is the main reason why the club own a +21 run differential through 52 games, as he leads the NL in home runs and RBIs.

He’s also a .333 career hitter against the Nationals at this venue.

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 20-17 in night games, with the 'over' going 26-8-3 in that situation.

All About the Bullpen
Washington has scored just 14 runs in dropping five of its last six games, with the 'under' going 4-0-2 in that span.

The Nationals’ bullpen enters with a MLB-leading 2.09 ERA—a big reason why 11 of the team’s last 23 games have been decided by two or fewer runs.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 39-40 in May, with the 'over' 42-29-8 in those 79 opportunities.

Check out how we rate the NL East

Marlins' starting pitcher Henderson Alvarez (2-3, 3.21 ERA) has led the club to back-to-back wins despite not earning a decision, including a 4-3 home victory over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out.

The right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.88 ERA in five road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .350 against him (.218 at home).

In five lifetime starts versus the Nationals, Alvarez has compiled a 0-3 record and 3.81 ERA, including an 0-2 mark and 3.65 ERA in three efforts at this ballpark.

Nationals' starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann (3-2, 3.95 ERA) suffered a 4-3 road defeat to the Pittsburgh Pirates last Friday, as he surrendered four runs and seven hits over six innings.

The right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.98 ERA in four outings this month, with opposing hitters batting .330 against him.

Zimmerman has tallied a 2-2 record and 5.74 ERA in six career home starts against the Marlins.

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, with the 'over' going 10-3-2 in Zimmermann’s last 15 trips to the mound at home.

Free MLB Pick: Over 7.5

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